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The goal of this paper is to construct ergodic estimators for the parameters in the double exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, observed at discrete time instants with time step size h. The existence and uniqueness, the strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Yaozhong Hu , Neha Sharma

We study high-dimensional drift estimation for L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observations. Assuming sparsity of the drift matrix, we analyze Lasso and Slope estimators constructed from approximate likelihoods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Niklas Dexheimer , Natalia Jeszka

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a mean-reverting stochastic process, has been widely applied as a time series model in various domains. This paper describes the design and implementation of a model-based synthetic time series model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Haibei Zhu , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

We combine earlier investigations of linear systems with L\'{e}vy fluctuations [Physica {\bf 113A}, 203, (1982)] with recent discussions of L\'{e}vy flights in external force fields [Phys.Rev. {\bf E 59},2736, (1999)]. We give a complete…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Piotr Garbaczewski , Robert Olkiewicz

We consider the statistical motion of a convex rigid body in a gas of N smaller (spherical) atoms close to thermodynamic equilibrium. Because the rigid body is much bigger and heavier, it undergoes a lot of collisions leading to small…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Thierry Bodineau , Isabelle Gallagher , Laure Saint-Raymond

We consider the extreme value statistics of correlated random variables that arise from a Langevin equation. Recently, it was shown that the extreme values of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process follow a different distribution than those…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

Superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes allow a flexible dependence structure, including long range dependence for OU-type processes. Their complex asymptotics are governed by three effects: the behavior of the L\'evy measure both at…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Danijel Grahovac , Peter Kevei

In this paper we consider a stochastic model of perpetuity-type. In contrast to the classical affine perpetuity model of Kesten [12] and Goldie [8] all discount factors in the model are mutually independent. We prove that the tails of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Thomas Mikosch , Mohsen Rezapour , Olivier Wintenberger

We construct a supercritical interacting measure-valued diffusion with representative particles that are attracted to, or repelled from, the center of mass. Using the historical stochastic calculus of Perkins, we modify a super…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Hardeep Gill

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

In this study we define a three-step procedure to relate the self-decomposability of the stationary law of a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to the law of the increments of such processes. Based on this procedure and the results of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-25 Piergiacomo Sabino

It is considered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $ x_t = x_0 e^{-\theta t} + \mu (1-e^{-\theta t}) + \sigma \int_0^t e^{-\theta (t-s)} dW_s$, where $x_0 \in R$, $\theta>0$, $ \mu \in R$ and $\sigma > 0$ are parameters. By use values $(z_k)_{k…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Levan Labadze , Gogi Pantsulaia

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

Consciousness is supported by complex patterns of brain activity which are indicative of irreversible non-equilibrium dynamics. While the framework of stochastic thermodynamics has facilitated the understanding of physical systems of this…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-01 Matthieu Gilson , Enzo Tagliazucchi , Rodrigo Cofre

A growing body of literature suggests that heavy tailed distributions represent an adequate model for the observations of log returns of stocks. Motivated by these findings, here we develop a discrete time framework for pricing of European…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-19 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

Assuming that a L\'evy-Driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (or CAR(1)) processes is observed at discrete times $0$, $h$, $2h$,$\cdots$ $[T/h]h$. We introduce a step-by-step methodological approach on how a person would verify the model assumptions.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Ibrahim Abdelrazeq , Hardy Smith , Dinmukhammed Zhanbyrshy

We consider the problem of efficient estimation of the drift parameter of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'{e}vy process when high-frequency observations are given. The estimator is constructed from the time-continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Hilmar Mai

In this paper, we address high-dimensional parametric estimation of the drift function in diffusion models, specifically focusing on a $d$-dimensional ergodic diffusion process observed at discrete time points. We consider both a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Chiara Amorino , Francisco Pina , Mark Podolskij

We examine a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process that perturbs an unknown Lipschitz-continuous drift and aim to estimate the drift's value at a predetermined time horizon by sampling the path of the process. Due to the time varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria , Berk Tan Perçin

Let $Y$ be an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion governed by an ergodic finite state Markov process $X$: $dY_t=-\lambda(X_t)Y_tdt+\sigma(X_t)dB_t$, $Y_0$ given. Under ergodicity condition, we get quantitative estimates for the long time behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-17 Jean-Baptiste Bardet , Hélène Guerin , Florent Malrieu