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In this paper we study the pricing of exchange options under a dynamic described by stochastic correlation with random jumps. In particular, we consider a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck covariance model with Levy Background Noise Process driven by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-29 Olivares Pablo , Villamor Enrique

Most energy and commodity markets exhibit mean-reversion and occasional distinctive price spikes, which results in demand for derivative products which protect the holder against high prices. To this end, in this paper we present exact and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-23 Nicola Cufaro Petroni , Piergiacomo Sabino

It is well-known that the transition function of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process solves the Fokker-Planck equation. This standard setting has been recently generalized in different directions, for example, by considering the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Luisa Beghin

Phylogenetic comparative methods for real-valued traits usually make use of stochastic process whose trajectories are continuous. This is despite biological intuition that evolution is rather punctuated than gradual. On the other hand,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-25 Krzysztof Bartoszek

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

This work is concerned with model reduction of stochastic differential equations and builds on the idea of replacing drift and noise coefficients of preselected relevant, e.g. slow variables by their conditional expectations. We extend…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-05 Carsten Hartmann , Lara Neureither , Upanshu Sharma

We consider a branching particle system consisting of particles moving according to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in $\Rd$ and undergoing a binary, supercritical branching with a constant rate $\lambda>0$. This system is known to fulfil a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-23 Radosław Adamczak , Piotr Miłoś

Determining accurately when regime and structural changes occur in various time-series data is critical in many social and natural sciences. We develop and show further the equivalence of two consistent estimation techniques in locating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-31 Fuqi Chen , Rogemar Mamon , Severien Nkurunziza

In this work, we consider, in a general setting, multiparameter multidimensional Markov processes that are time-changed by an independent additive subordinator. By extending Phillips theorem, we show that the resulting process is a Feller…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Alessandro Mutti , Patrizia Semeraro

We construct a least squares estimator for the drift parameters of a fractional Ornstein Uhlenbeck process with periodic mean function and long range dependence. For this estimator we prove consistency and asymptotic normality. In contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Herold Dehling , Brice Franke , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

We compare systematically several classes of stochastic volatility models of stock market fluctuations. We show that the long-time return distribution is either Gaussian or develops a power-law tail, while the short-time return distribution…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-15 Frantisek Slanina

We investigate the sharp large deviation properties of the energy and the maximum likelihood estimator for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index greater than one half.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-19 Bernard Bercu , Laure Coutin , Nicolas Savy

Distributional properties -including Laplace transforms- of integrals of Markov processes received a lot of attention in the literature. In this paper, we complete existing results in several ways. First, we provide the analytical solution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-09 Frédéric Vrins

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

Generative modeling via stochastic processes has led to remarkable empirical results as well as to recent advances in their theoretical understanding. In principle, both space and time of the processes can be discrete or continuous. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-07 Ludwig Winkler , Lorenz Richter , Manfred Opper

We consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a stochastic process widely used in finance, physics, and biology. Parameter estimation of the OU process is a challenging problem. Thus, we review traditional tracking methods and compare…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-24 Jacob Fein-Ashley

We use asymptotic methods from the theory of differential equations to obtain an analytical expression for the survival probability of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with a potential defined over a broad domain. We form a uniformly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-26 L. T. Giorgini , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

We consider a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (0, \frac12) \cup (\frac12, 1)$. Our goal is to estimate an unknown drift parameter $\alpha\in (-\infty,\infty)$ on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Chihoon Lee , Jian Song

We study properties of the (generalized) Dickman distribution with two parameters and the stationary solution of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic differential equation driven by a Poisson process. In particular, we show that the marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Danijel Grahovac , Anastasiia Kovtun , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Andrey Pepelyshev

Lognormality was found experimentally for coarse-grained squared turbulence velocity and velocity increment when the coarsening scale is comparable to the correlation scale of the velocity (Mouri et al. Phys. Fluids 21, 065107, 2009). We…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-01-29 Takeshi Matsumoto , Masanori Takaoka