English

Determination of a structural break in a mean-reverting process

Statistics Theory 2017-05-31 v3 Statistics Theory

Abstract

Determining accurately when regime and structural changes occur in various time-series data is critical in many social and natural sciences. We develop and show further the equivalence of two consistent estimation techniques in locating the change point under the framework of a generalised version of the Ornstein-Uhlehnbeck process. Our methods are based on the least sum of squared error and the maximum log-likelihood approaches. The case where both the existence and the location of the change point are unknown is investigated and an informational methodology is employed to address these issues. Numerical illustrations are presented to assess the performance of the methods.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1610.03153,
  title  = {Determination of a structural break in a mean-reverting process},
  author = {Fuqi Chen and Rogemar Mamon and Severien Nkurunziza},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1610.03153},
  year   = {2017}
}

Comments

31 pages, 15 figures, 11 tables

R2 v1 2026-06-22T16:17:09.865Z