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In evolutionary game theory, an important measure of a mutant trait (strategy) is its ability to invade and take over an otherwise-monomorphic population. Typically, one quantifies the success of a mutant strategy via the probability that a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-12 Alex McAvoy , Christoph Hauert

A key question in evolution is how likely a mutant is to take over. This depends on natural selection and on stochastic fluctuations. Population spatial structure can impact mutant fixation probabilities. We introduce a model for structured…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-23 Loïc Marrec , Irene Lamberti , Anne-Florence Bitbol

We study the evolution of cooperation in a finite population interacting according to a simple model of like-with-like assortment. Evolution proceeds as a Moran process, and payoffs from the underlying cooperator-defector game are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-14 Daniel Cooney , Benjamin Allen , Carl Veller

Ageing's sensitivity to natural selection has long been discussed because of its apparent negative effect on individual's fitness. Thanks to the recently described (Smurf) 2-phase model of ageing we were allowed to propose a fresh angle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Sylvie Méléard , Michael Rera , Tristan Roget

The ordinary contact process is used to model the spread of a disease in a population. In this model, each infected individual waits an exponentially distributed time with parameter 1 before becoming healthy. In this paper, we introduce and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Erik I. Broman

Biological fitness is not an observable quantity and must be inferred from population dynamics. Bayesian inference applied to the Moran process and variants yields a robust inference method that can infer fitness in populations evolving via…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Marc Harper

We investigate the evolutionary rescue of a microbial population in a gradually deteriorating environment, through a combination of analytical calculations and stochastic simulations. We consider a population destined for extinction in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-17 Loïc Marrec , Anne-Florence Bitbol

To our knowledge, the populations are generally assumed to be homogeneous in the traditional approach to evolutionary game dynamics. Here, we focus on the inhomogeneous populations. A simple model which can describe the inhomogeneity of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Xiaojie Chen , Feng Fu , Long Wang , Tianguang Chu

We study fixation probabilities for the Moran stochastic process for the evolution of a population with three or more types of individuals and frequency-dependent fitnesses. Contrarily to the case of populations with two types of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-26 Eliza M. Ferreira , Armando G. M. Neves

The goal of this paper is to develop a theory of graphon-valued stochastic processes, and to construct and analyse a natural class of such processes arising from population genetics. We consider finite populations where individuals change…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Siva Athreya , Frank den Hollander , Adrian Röllin

To learn about the past from a sample of genomic sequences, one needs to understand how evolutionary processes shape genetic diversity. Most population genetic inference is based on frameworks assuming adaptive evolution is rare. But if…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-25 Richard A. Neher

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

We consider the effect of network structure on the evolution of a population. Models of this kind typically consider a population of fixed size and distribution. Here we consider eco-evolutionary dynamics where population size and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-05 Karan Pattni , Wajid Ali , Mark Broom , Kieran J Sharkey

We consider two population models subject to the evolutionary forces of selection and mutation, the Moran model and the $\Lambda$-Wright-Fisher model. In such models the block counting process traces back the number of potential ancestors…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Fernando Cordero , Martin Möhle

Population structure can have a significant effect on evolution. For some systems with sufficient symmetry, analytic results can be derived within the mathematical framework of evolutionary graph theory which relate to the outcome of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-11 Christopher E. Overton , Mark Broom , Christoforos Hadjichrysanthou , Kieran J. Sharkey

Consider a two-type Moran population of size $N$ with selection and mutation, where the selective advantage of the fit individuals is amplified at extreme environmental conditions. Assume selection and mutation are weak with respect to $N$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Fernando Cordero , Grégoire Véchambre

Recent microbial experiments suggest that enhanced genetic drift at the frontier of a two-dimensional range expansion can cause genetic sectoring patterns with fractal domain boundaries. Here, we propose and analyze a simple model of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-12 Oskar Hallatschek , David R. Nelson

In large asexual populations, multiple beneficial mutations arise in the population, compete, interfere with each other, and accumulate on the same genome, before any of them fix. The resulting dynamics, although studied by many authors, is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Daniel S. Fisher

Stochastic phenotype switching has been suggested to play a beneficial role in microbial populations by leading to the division of labour among cells, or ensuring that at least some of the population survives an unexpected change in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-02 Andrew C. Tadrowski , Martin R. Evans , Bartlomiej Waclaw

The interrelationships of the fundamental biological processes natural selection, mutation, and stochastic drift are quantified by the entropy rate of Moran processes with mutation, measuring the long-run variation of a Markov process. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-01-14 Marc Harper