English

Stochastic domination for a hidden Markov chain with applications to the contact process in a randomly evolving environment

Probability 2011-11-10 v1

Abstract

The ordinary contact process is used to model the spread of a disease in a population. In this model, each infected individual waits an exponentially distributed time with parameter 1 before becoming healthy. In this paper, we introduce and study the contact process in a randomly evolving environment. Here we associate to every individual an independent two-state, {0,1},\{0,1\}, background process. Given δ0<δ1,\delta_0<\delta_1, if the background process is in state 0,0, the individual (if infected) becomes healthy at rate δ0,\delta_0, while if the background process is in state 1,1, it becomes healthy at rate δ1.\delta_1. By stochastically comparing the contact process in a randomly evolving environment to the ordinary contact process, we will investigate matters of extinction and that of weak and strong survival. A key step in our analysis is to obtain stochastic domination results between certain point processes. We do this by starting out in a discrete setting and then taking continuous time limits.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.0711.3597,
  title  = {Stochastic domination for a hidden Markov chain with applications to the contact process in a randomly evolving environment},
  author = {Erik I. Broman},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0711.3597},
  year   = {2011}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/0091179606000001187 the Annals of Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aop/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)

R2 v1 2026-06-21T09:46:18.303Z