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We consider a $d$-dimensional continuous martingale $X(t)$ with quadratic variation matrix $\langle X\rangle_t=\int_0^t \Sigma(s)\,ds$ and develop tests for the rank of its spot covariance matrix $\Sigma(t)$, $t\in[0,1]$. The process $X$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Markus Reiß , Lars Winkelmann

We present an algorithm for the Merkle tree traversal problem which combines the efficient space-time trade-off from the fractal Merkle tree [3] and the space efficiency from the improved log space-time Merkle trees traversal [8]. We give…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2014-09-16 Markus Knecht , Willi Meier , Carlo U. Nicola

Monroe (1978) demonstrates that any local semimartingale can be represented as a time-changed Brownian Motion (BM). A natural question arises: does this representation theorem hold when the BM and the time-change are independent? We prove…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

The martingale part in the semimartingale decomposition of a Brownian motion with respect to an enlargement of its filtration, is an anticipative mapping of the given Brownian motion. In analogy to optimal transport theory, we define causal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Beatrice Acciaio , Julio Backhoff Veraguas , Anastasiia Zalashko

This article introduces the class of periodic trawl processes, which are continuous-time, infinitely divisible, stationary stochastic processes, that allow for periodicity and flexible forms of their serial correlation, including both…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Almut E. D. Veraart

In the paper, we study numerically the projections of the real exchange rate dynamics onto the string-like topology. Our approach is inspired by the contemporary movements in the string theory. The string map of data is defined here by the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 D. Horvath , R. Pincak

We apply the formalism of the continuous time random walk to the study of financial data. The entire distribution of prices can be obtained once two auxiliary densities are known. These are the probability densities for the pausing time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , George H. Weiss

Time series datasets often contain heterogeneous signals, composed of both continuously changing quantities and discretely occurring events. The coupling between these measurements may provide insights into key underlying mechanisms of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-11 Shervin Safavi , Nikos K. Logothetis , Michel Besserve

In this paper we study the rate of convergence of the iterates of \iid random piecewise constant monotone maps to the time-$1$ transport map for the process of coalescing Brownian motions. We prove that the rate of convergence is given by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Konstantin Khanin , Liying Li

We consider a Brownian motion with linear drift that splits at fixed time points into a fixed number of branches, which may depend on the branching point. For this process, which we shall refer to as the Brownian decision tree, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Pavel Ievlev , Nikolai Kriukov

We prove some new results on reflected BSDEs and doubly reflected BSDEs driven by a multi-dimensional RCLL martingale. The goal is to develop a general multi-asset framework encompassing a wide spectrum of nonlinear financial models,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Tianyang Nie , Marek Rutkowski

This article proposes a novel test for the martingale difference hypothesis based on the martingale difference divergence function, a recently developed dependence measure suitable for measuring the degree of conditional mean dependence of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-10 Luca Mattia Rolla

An intriguing question in martingale optimal transport is to characterize the martingale with prescribed initial and terminal marginals whose transition kernel is as Gaussian as possible. In this work we address an extension of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Bertram Tschiderer

Fractional Brownian motion has become a standard tool to address long-range dependence in financial time series. However, a constant memory parameter is too restrictive to address different market conditions. Here we model the price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-31 Axel A. Araneda

We consider high frequency observations from a fractional Brownian motion. Inspired by the work of Jean Jacod in a diffusion setting, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of various classical statistics related to the local times of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Mark Podolskij , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In the present paper will be discussed the problem related to the individual household electric power consumption of objects in different areas-industry, farmers, banks, hospitals, theaters, hostels, supermarkets, universities. The main…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-18 V. Bondarenko , Simona Petrakieva , Ina Taralova , Desislav Andreev

In the recent paper [5], a Bayesian approach for constructing confidence intervals in monotone regression problems is proposed, based on credible intervals. We view this method from a frequentist point of view, and show that it corresponds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

How effective are the most common trading models? The answer may help investors realize upsides to using each model, act as a segue for investors into more complex financial analysis and machine learning, and to increase financial literacy…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-01 Joseph Attia

Many results in stochastic analysis and mathematical finance involve local martingales. However, specific examples of strict local martingales are rare and analytically often rather unhandy. We study local martingales that follow a given…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Martin Herdegen , Sebastian Herrmann

In markets with transaction costs, consistent price systems play the same role as martingale measures in frictionless markets. We prove that if a continuous price process has conditional full support, then it admits consistent price systems…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Paolo Guasoni , Miklós Rásonyi , Walter Schachermayer