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The focus of this paper is the analysis of real-time systems with recursion, through the development of good theoretical techniques which are implementable. Time is modeled using clock variables, and recursion using stacks. Our technique…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-11 S. Akshay , Paul Gastin , Shankara Narayanan Krishna , Ilias Sarkar

Let $ \left(X_{t} \right)_{t\geq 0} $ be a continuous semimartingale. Let $ L^{z}_{t}\left(X\right) $ its family of local times. In \cite{YOR} Yor showed that the family $ \left( L^{z}_{t}\left(X\right) \right)_{ z \in \mathbb{R}, t \geq 0}…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Anass Ben Taleb

We introduce the notion of relative volatility/intermittency and demonstrate how relative volatility statistics can be used to estimate consistently the temporal variation of volatility/intermittency when the data of interest are generated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Jürgen Schmiegel

The information dynamics in finance and insurance applications is usually modeled by a filtration. This paper looks at situations where information restrictions apply such that the information dynamics may become non-monotone. A fundamental…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Marcus C. Christiansen

A new framework for pricing the European currency option is developed in the case where the spot exchange rate fellows a time-changed fractional Brownian motion. An analytic formula for pricing European foreign currency option is proposed…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-08 Foad Shokrollahi

When the \textit{martingale representation property} holds, we call any local martingale which realizes the representation a \textit{representation process}. There are two properties of the \textit{representation process} which can greatly…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Shiqi Song

In this paper we give necessary and sufficient conditions for a cylindrical continuous local martingale to be the stochastic integral with respect to a cylindrical Brownian motion. In particular we consider the class of cylindrical…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Ivan S. Yaroslavtsev

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

The study of correlations between brain regions is an important chapter of the analysis of large-scale brain spatiotemporal dynamics. In particular, novel methods suited to extract dynamic changes in mutual correlations are needed. Here we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-11 Jeremi K. Ochab , Wojciech Tarnowski , and Maciej A. Nowak , Dante R. Chialvo

We propose and test a method to interpolate sparsely sampled signals by a stochastic process with a broad range of spatial and/or temporal scales. To this end, we extend the notion of a fractional Brownian bridge, defined as fractional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-05 J. Friedrich , S. Gallon , A. Pumir , R. Grauer

The key factor currently limiting the advancement of computational power of electronic computation is no longer the manufacturing density and speed of components, but rather their high energy consumption. While it has been widely argued…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-08-30 David Doty , Niels Kornerup , Austin Luchsinger , Leo Orshansky , David Soloveichik , Damien Woods

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 David Criens , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Thorsten Schmidt

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

The first half of the paper is devoted to description and implementation of statistical tests arguing for the presence of a Brownian component in the inventories and wealth processes of individual traders. We use intra-day data from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-03 Rene Carmona , Laura Leal

The long-term behavior of a supercritical branching random walk can be described and analyzed with the help of Biggins' martingales, parametrized by real or complex numbers. The study of these martingales with complex parameters is a rather…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-17 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

In this paper, we study Bessel processes of dimension $\delta\equiv2(1-\mu)$, with $0<\delta<2$, and some related martingales and random times. Our approach is based on martingale techniques and the general theory of stochastic processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Ashkan Nikeghbali

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the strong approximation of the integrated empirical process. More precisely, we obtain the exact rate of the approximations by a sequence of weighted Brownian bridges and a weighted Kiefer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Sergio Alvarez-Andrade , Salim Bouzebda , Aimé Lachal

In this paper we discuss the process convergence of the time dependent fluctuations of linear eigenvalue statistics of random circulant matrices with independent Brownian motion entries, as the dimension of the matrix tends to $\infty $.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Shambhu Nath Maurya , Koushik Saha

We model continuous-time information flows generated by a number of information sources that switch on and off at random times. By modulating a multi-dimensional L\'evy random bridge over a random point field, our framework relates the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Edward Hoyle , Andrea Macrina , Levent A. Mengütürk
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