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In practice, observations are often contaminated by noise, making the resulting sample covariance matrix to be an information-plus-noise-type covariance matrix. Aiming to make inferences about the spectra of the underlying true covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Ningning Xia , Xinghua Zheng

We compute spectra of sample auto-covariance matrices of second order stationary stochastic processes. We look at a limit in which both the matrix dimension $N$ and the sample size $M$ used to define empirical averages diverge, with their…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-03 Reimer Kuehn , Peter Sollich

Hidden Markov models have successfully been applied as models of discrete time series in many fields. Often, when applied in practice, the parameters of these models have to be estimated. The currently predominating identification methods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-24 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

Time series and sequential data have gained significant attention recently since many real-world processes in various domains such as finance, education, biology, and engineering can be modeled as time series. Although many algorithms and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Manie Tadayon , Greg Pottie

Herein, we introduce and study a new class of discrete random fields designed for quick simulation and covariance inference under inhomogeneous condition. Simulation of these correlated fields can be done in a single pass instead of relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Biao Wu , Michael A. Kouritzin , Fraser Newton

Single Index Models (SIMs) are simple yet flexible semi-parametric models for machine learning, where the response variable is modeled as a monotonic function of a linear combination of features. Estimation in this context requires learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-01 Nikhil Rao , Ravi Ganti , Laura Balzano , Rebecca Willett , Robert Nowak

Motivated by reduction of computational complexity, this work develops sign-error adaptive filtering algorithms for estimating time-varying system parameters. Different from the previous work on sign-error algorithms, the parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Araz Hashemi , G. Yin , Le Yi Wang

The theory of slow invariant manifolds (SIMs) is the foundation of various model-order reduction techniques for dissipative dynamical systems with multiple time-scales, e.g. in chemical kinetic models. The construction of SIMs and many…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Johannes Poppe , Dirk Lebiedz

This paper deals with the identification of the multivariate fractional Brownian motion, a recently developed extension of the fractional Brownian motion to the multivariate case. This process is a $p$-multivariate self-similar Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-16 Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Jean-François Coeurjolly

Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Sarbojit Roy , Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao

High-dimensional time series are common in many domains. Since human cognition is not optimized to work well in high-dimensional spaces, these areas could benefit from interpretable low-dimensional representations. However, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Vincent Fortuin , Matthias Hüser , Francesco Locatello , Heiko Strathmann , Gunnar Rätsch

A discrete time stochastic model for a multiagent system given in terms of a large collection of interacting Markov chains is studied. The evolution of the interacting particles is described through a time inhomogeneous transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Del Moral , Sylvain Rubenthaler

We consider a Markov chain $(x_n)$ whose kernel is indexed by a scaling parameter $\gamma>0$, refered to as the step size. The aim is to analyze the behavior of the Markov chain in the doubly asymptotic regime where $n\to\infty$ then…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Pascal Bianchi , Walid Hachem , Adil Salim

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We study discrete time Markov processes with periodic or open boundary conditions and with inhomogeneous rates in the bulk. The Markov matrices are given by the inhomogeneous transfer matrices introduced previously to prove the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-30 N. Crampe , K. Mallick , E. Ragoucy , M. Vanicat

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

Discrete diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for high-quality data generation. Despite their success in discrete spaces, such as text generation tasks, the acceleration of discrete diffusion models remains under-explored. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Zixiang Chen , Huizhuo Yuan , Yongqian Li , Yiwen Kou , Junkai Zhang , Quanquan Gu

We aim at estimating in a non-parametric way the density $\pi$ of the stationary distribution of a $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equation $(X_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$, for $d \ge 2$, from the discrete observations of a finite sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

In this paper, we study one dimensional Markov processes with spatial delay. Since the seminal work of Feller, we know that virtually any one dimensional, strong, homogeneous, continuous Markov process can be uniquely characterized via its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-07 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Parameter estimation for discretely observed Markov processes is a challenging problem. However, simulation of Markov processes is straightforward using the Gillespie algorithm. We exploit this ease of simulation to develop an effective…

Computation · Statistics 2014-04-17 Peter Neal