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For controlled discrete-time stochastic processes we introduce a new class of dynamic risk measures, which we call process-based. Their main features are that they measure risk of processes that are functions of the history of a base…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Jingnan Fan , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Autoregressive Markov switching (ARMS) time series models are used to represent real-world signals whose dynamics may change over time. They have found application in many areas of the natural and social sciences, as well as in engineering.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 José A. Martínez-Ordóñez , Javier López-Santiago , Joaquín Miguez

The estimation of the covariance function of a stochastic process, or signal, is of integral importance for a multitude of signal processing applications. In this work, we derive closed-form expressions for the variance of covariance…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-05 Filip Elvander , Johan Karlsson

We describe a simple method that can be used to sample the rare fluctuations of discrete-time Markov chains. We focus on the case of Markov chains with well-defined steady-state measures, and derive expressions for the large-deviation rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-28 Stephen Whitelam

We investigate the statistical accuracy of temporally interpolated spatiotemporal flow sequences between sparse, decorrelated snapshots of turbulent flow fields using conditional Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs). The…

The paper studies the problem of filtering a discrete-time linear system observed by a network of sensors. The sensors share a common communication medium to the estimator and transmission is bit and power budgeted. Under the assumption of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-10-07 S. Kar , B. Sinopoli , J. M. F. Moura

In this paper, we provide a unified analysis of temporal difference learning algorithms with linear function approximators by exploiting their connections to Markov jump linear systems (MJLS). We tailor the MJLS theory developed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Bin Hu , Usman Ahmed Syed

Dynamic simulators model systems evolving over time. Often, it operates iteratively over fixed number of time-steps. The output of such simulator can be considered as time series or discrete functional outputs. Metamodeling is an e ective…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-04 Ekaterina Sergienko , Fabrice Gamboa , Daniel Busby

The solution to a multivariate linear Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) with constant initial state is well known to be a Gaussian Markov process, but its covariance kernel involves the solution to an integral equation in the general…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Kerry Fendick

This paper revisits the definition of linear time-invariant (LTI) stochastic process within a behavioral systems framework. Building on [Willems, 2013], we derive a canonical representation of an LTI stochastic process and a physically…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-10 Giacomo Baggio , Rodolphe Sepulchre

We propose a variety of models of random walk, discrete in space and time, suitable for simulating stable random variables of arbitrary index $\alpha$ ($0< \alpha \le 2$), in the symmetric case. We show that by properly scaled transition to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rudolf Gorenflo , Gianni De Fabritiis , Francesco Mainardi

Motivated by broad applications in reinforcement learning and machine learning, this paper considers the popular stochastic gradient descent (SGD) when the gradients of the underlying objective function are sampled from Markov processes.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Thinh T. Doan , Lam M. Nguyen , Nhan H. Pham , Justin Romberg

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

We present a scheme for sequential decision making with a risk-sensitive objective and constraints in a dynamic environment. A neural network is trained as an approximator of the mapping from parameter space to space of risk and policy with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Shuai Ma , Jia Yuan Yu , Ahmet Satir

We consider a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) where the integrated continuous-time Markov chain can be observed at discrete time points perturbed by a Brownian motion. The aim is to derive a filter for the underlying continuous-time Markov chain.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Igor Gilitschenski , Uwe D. Hanebeck

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

In practice, observations are often contaminated by noise, making the resulting sample covariance matrix a signal-plus-noise sample covariance matrix. Aiming to make inferences about the spectral distribution of the population covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Ningning Xia , Xinghua Zheng

Hidden Markov Model (HMM) combined with Gaussian Process (GP) emission can be effectively used to estimate the hidden state with a sequence of complex input-output relational observations. Especially when the spectral mixture (SM) kernel is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Yohan Jung , Jinkyoo Park

We introduce a class of multi-scale systems with discrete time, motivated by the problem of inviscid limit in fluid dynamics in the presence of small-scale noise. These systems are infinite-dimensional and defined on a scale-invariant…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-04-19 Alexei A. Mailybaev , Artem Raibekas

We investigate the long-time behavior of solutions to a stochastically forced one-dimensional Navier-Stokes system, describing the motion of a compressible viscous fluid, in the case of linear pressure law. We prove existence of an…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Michele Coti Zelati , Nathan Glatt-Holtz , Konstantina Trivisa
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