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We consider a continuous-time stochastic volatility model. The model contains a stationary volatility process, the multivariate density of the finite dimensional distributions of which we aim to estimate. We assume that we observe the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij

We study the problem of estimating the spectral density of a centered stationary Gaussian time series under local differential privacy constraints. Specifically, we propose new interactive privacy mechanisms for three tasks: recovering a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Cristina Butucea , Karolina Klockmann , Tatyana Krivobokova

This work aims at providing a new model for time series classification based on learning from just one example. We assume that time series can be well characterized as a parametric random process, a sort of Hidden semi-Markov Model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-18 Adrián Pérez Herrero , Paulo Félix Lamas , Jesús María Rodríguez Presedo

We provide asymptotic theory for certain functions of the sample autocovariance matrices of a high-dimensional time series with infinite fourth moment. The time series exhibits linear dependence across the coordinates and through time.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch

For rare events described in terms of Markov processes, truly unbiased estimation of the rare event probability generally requires the avoidance of numerical approximations of the Markov process. Recent work in the exact and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-08 James Hodgson , Adam M. Johansen , Murray Pollock

We develop a formalism to describe the discrete-time dynamics of systems containing an arbitrary number of interacting species. The individual-based model, which forms our starting point, is described by a Markov chain, which in the limit…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-06 César Parra-Rojas , Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We study the estimation of the high-dimensional covariance matrix andits eigenvalues under dynamic volatility models. Data under such modelshave nonlinear dependency both cross-sectionally and temporally. We firstinvestigate the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Yi Ding , Xinghua Zheng

From a continuous-time long memory stochastic process, a discrete-time randomly sampled one is drawn. We investigate the second-order properties of this process and establish some time-and frequency-domain asymptotic results. We mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe , Caroline Robet

This paper develops a closed-form spectral decomposition framework for the Gramian matrices of discrete-time linear dynamical systems. The main results provide explicit decompositions of the discrete-time controllability Gramian and its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Alexey Iskakov

In the present paper, we give some examples of stochastic differential equations which have delicateness in the Markov and strong Markov properties, the uniqueness locally in time and globally in time, and initial conditions. Moreover, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Seiichiro Kusuoka

Learning to sample from complex unnormalized distributions over discrete domains emerged as a promising research direction with applications in statistical physics, variational inference, and combinatorial optimization. Recent work has…

We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-14 Georgios Papageorgiou

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

Donsker Theorem is perhaps the most famous invariance principle result for Markov processes. It states that when properly normalized, a random walk behaves asymptotically like a Brownian motion. This approach can be extended to general…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Eustache Besançon , E Besanç On , Laurent Decreusefond , Pascal Moyal

A general formalism is developed to construct a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are therefore internal to the system and not externally specified. For…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-15 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

Second-order characteristics including covariance and spectral density functions are fundamentally important for both statistical applications and theoretical analysis in functional time series. In the high-dimensional setting where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Bufan Li , Xinghao Qiao , Weichi Wu , Holger Dette

In this paper, we present a novel framework incorporating a combination of sparse models in different domains. We posit the observed data as generated from a linear combination of a sparse Gaussian Markov model (with a sparse precision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Majid Janzamin , Animashree Anandkumar

Single Index Models (SIMs) are simple yet flexible semi-parametric models for classification and regression. Response variables are modeled as a nonlinear, monotonic function of a linear combination of features. Estimation in this context…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-01 Ravi Ganti , Nikhil Rao , Rebecca M. Willett , Robert Nowak

We present a general approach for computing the dynamic partition function of a continuous-time Markov process. The Ruelle topological pressure is identified with the large deviation function of a physical observable. We construct for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-05-11 Vivien Lecomte , Cecile Appert-Rolland , Frederic van Wijland

Two approaches to studying the correlation functions of the binary Markov sequences are considered. The first of them is based on the study of probability of occurring different ''words'' in the sequence. The other one uses recurrence…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii