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We consider the discrete-time filtering problem in scenarios where the observation noise is degenerate or low. More precisely, one is given access to a discrete time observation sequence which at any time $k$ depends only on the state of an…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Abylay Zhumekenov , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

Since the introduction of Dyson's Brownian motion in early 1960's, there have been a lot of developments in the investigation of stochastic processes on the space of Hermitian matrices. Their properties, especially, the properties of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Jian Song , Jianfeng Yao , Wangjun Yuan

The aim of this article is to provide a scheme for simulating diffusion processes evolving in one-dimensional discontinuous media. This scheme does not rely on smoothing the coefficients that appear in the infinitesimal generator of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Antoine Lejay , Miguel Martinez

We propose a data-driven method to learn the time-dependent probability density of a multivariate stochastic process from sample paths, assuming that the initial probability density is known and can be evaluated. Our method uses a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-19 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Javier Murgoitio-Esandi , Ali Fardisi , Assad A Oberai

In this work, we generalize the concept of bisimulation metric in order to metrize the behaviour of continuous-time processes. Similarly to what is done for discrete-time systems, we follow two approaches and show that they coincide: as a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Linan Chen , Florence Clerc , Prakash Panangaden

Given an iid sequence of pairs of stochastic processes on the unit interval we construct a measure of independence for the components of the pairs. We define distance covariance and distance correlation based on approximations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-30 Herold Dehling , Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch , Gennady Samorodnitsky , Laleh Tafakori

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

Estimation of the covariance structure of spatial processes is of fundamental importance in spatial statistics. In the literature, several non-parametric and semi-parametric methods have been developed to estimate the covariance structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-06 Shu Yang , Zhengyuan Zhu

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

A class of Gaussian processes generalizing the usual fractional Brownian motion for Hurst indices in (1/2,1) and multifractal Brownian motion introduced in Ralchenko and Shevchenko (Theory Probab Math Stat 80, 2010) and Boufoussi et al.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Jelena Ryvkina

We map the Markov Switching Multi-fractal model (MSM) onto the Random Energy Model (REM). The MSM is, like the REM, an exactly solvable model in 1-d space with non-trivial correlation functions. According to our results, four different…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 David B. Saakian

Markov networks are frequently used in sciences to represent conditional independence relationships underlying observed variables arising from a complex system. It is often of interest to understand how an underlying network differs between…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Byol Kim , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

For a wide class of continuous-time Markov processes, including all irreducible hypoelliptic diffusions evolving on an open, connected subset of $\RL^d$, the following are shown to be equivalent: (i) The process satisfies (a slightly weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean P. Meyn

In this paper we give general criteria on tightness and weak convergence of discrete Markov chains to symmetric jump processes on metric measure spaces under mild conditions. As an application, we investigate discrete approximation for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-01 Zhen-Qing Chen , Panki Kim , Takashi Kumagai

This study deals with continuous limits of interacting one-dimensional diffusive systems, arising from stochastic distortions of discrete curves with various kinds of coding representations. These systems are essentially of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-09 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

Stochastic variational inference for collapsed models has recently been successfully applied to large scale topic modelling. In this paper, we propose a stochastic collapsed variational inference algorithm in the sequential data setting.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-08 Pengyu Wang , Phil Blunsom

We consider Markov models of stochastic processes where the next-step conditional distribution is defined by a kernel density estimator (KDE), similar to Markov forecast densities and certain time-series bootstrap schemes. The KDE Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Gustav Eje Henter , Arne Leijon , W. Bastiaan Kleijn

Sequential data modeling and analysis have become indispensable tools for analyzing sequential data, such as time-series data, because larger amounts of sensed event data have become available. These methods capture the sequential structure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Hiromi Narimatsu , Hiroyuki Kasai

The analysis of local minima in time series data and random landscapes is essential across numerous scientific disciplines, offering critical insights into system dynamics. Recently, Kundu, Majumdar, and Schehr derived the exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-19 Maxim Dolgushev , Olivier Bénichou

The spectral density function describes the second-order properties of a stationary stochastic process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This paper considers the nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of a continuous-time stochastic process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Rafail Kartsioukas , Stilian Stoev , Tailen Hsing