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This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

Recently, several powerful tools for the reconstruction of stochastic differential equations from measured data sets have been proposed [e.g. Siegert et al., Physics Letters A 243, 275 (1998); Hurn et al., Journal of Time Series Analysis…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 David Kleinhans , Rudolf Friedrich , Matthias Waechter , Joachim Peinke

We investigate the parameter recovery of Markov-switching ordinary differential processes from discrete observations, where the differential equations are nonlinear additive models. This framework has been widely applied in biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Sanmi Koyejo

Over the last couple of decades, there has been a surge in various approaches to multiple-point statistics simulation, commonly referred to as MPS. These methods have aimed to improve several critical aspects of realism in the results,…

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We introduce the wavelet scattering spectra which provide non-Gaussian models of time-series having stationary increments. A complex wavelet transform computes signal variations at each scale. Dependencies across scales are captured by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-06-21 Rudy Morel , Gaspar Rochette , Roberto Leonarduzzi , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Stéphane Mallat

The slow processes of metastable stochastic dynamical systems are difficult to access by direct numerical simulation due the sampling problem. Here, we suggest an approach for modeling the slow parts of Markov processes by approximating the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-12-03 Frank Noé , Feliks Nüske

It is quite clear from a wide range of experiments that gating phenomena of ion channels is inherently stochastic. It has been discussed using BD simulations in a recent paper that memory effects in ion transport is negligible, unless the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-25 Sisir Roy , Indranil Mitra , Rodolfo Llinas

Variational inference algorithms have proven successful for Bayesian analysis in large data settings, with recent advances using stochastic variational inference (SVI). However, such methods have largely been studied in independent or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-07 Nicholas J. Foti , Jason Xu , Dillon Laird , Emily B. Fox

We present DiSH-Sim, a simulator for large discrete models of biological signal transduction pathways, capable of simulating networks with multi-valued elements in both deterministic and stochastic manner. We focus on order of update and…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-09 Khaled Sayed , Yu-Hsin Kuo , Anuva Kulkarni , Natasa Miskov-Zivanov

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

In this paper we construct a Markov process which has as invariant measure the fractional Edwards measure based on a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion, with Hurst index $H$ in the case of $Hd=1$. We use the theory of classical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-07-20 Wolfgang Bock , Torben Fattler , Jose Luis da Silva , Ludwig Streit

This paper proposes an identification algorithm for Single Input Single Output (SISO) Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) systems. In the noise-free setting, where the first $T$ Markov parameters can be precisely estimated, all Markov parameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Jiayun Li , Yilin Mo

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) have achieved high quality image generation without adversarial training, yet they require simulating a Markov chain for many steps to produce a sample. To accelerate sampling, we present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Jiaming Song , Chenlin Meng , Stefano Ermon

We present a purely deep neural network-based approach for estimating long memory parameters of time series models that incorporate the phenomenon of long-range dependence. Parameters, such as the Hurst exponent, are critical in…

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

The dynamic and kinetic behavior of processes occurring in fractals with spatial discrete scale invariance (DSI) is considered. Spatial DSI implies the existence of a fundamental scaling ratio (b_1). We address time-dependent physical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. A. Bab , G. Fabricius , Ezequiel V. Albano.

A nonhomogeneous hidden semi-Markov model is proposed to segment toroidal time series according to a finite number of latent regimes and, simultaneously, estimate the influence of time-varying covariates on the process' survival under each…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione

We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav

We point out a new view on slow invariant manifolds (SIM) in dynamical systems which departs from a purely geometric covariant characterization implying coordinate independency. The fundamental idea is to treat the SIM as a well-defined…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Dirk Lebiedz