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This is a general description of a probabilistic formalism of mechanics, i.e., an extension of the Newtonian mechanics principles to the systems undergoing random motion. From an analysis of the induction procedure from experimental data to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-03-29 Qiuping A. Wang

The original Kelly criterion provides a strategy to maximize the long-term growth of winnings in a sequence of simple Bernoulli bets with an edge, that is, when the expected return on each bet is positive. The objective of this work is to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Sergey Lototsky , Austin Pollok

Conventional noncooperative game theory hypothesizes that the joint strategy of a set of players in a game must satisfy an "equilibrium concept". All other joint strategies are considered impossible; the only issue is what equilibrium…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 David H. Wolpert

For a family of multidimensional gambler models we provide formulas for the winning probabilities (in terms of parameters of the system) and for the distribution of game duration (in terms of eigenvalues of underlying one-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Paweł Lorek , Piotr Markowski

A result of Chebyshev (1864) and Hoeffding1956}, on bounding an expectation of a given function with respect to a Bernoulli convolution (also called Poisson binomial law, or law of the number of successes in independent trials) with any…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Lutz Mattner

We consider arbitrary discrete probability laws on the real line. We obtain a criterion of their belonging to a new class of quasi-infinitely divisible laws, which is a wide natural extension of the class of well known infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 A. A. Khartov

We begin by reviewing and proving the basic facts of combinatorial game theory. We then consider scoring games (also known as Milnor games or positional games), focusing on the "fixed-length" games for which all sequences of play terminate…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-07-27 Will Johnson

We introduce and study a subclass of joint Bernoulli distributions which has the palindromic property. For such distributions the vector of joint probabilities is unchanged when the order of the elements is reversed. We prove for binary…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-06 Giovanni M. Marchetti , Nanny Wermuth

A novel notion of unpredictable strings is revealed and utilized to define deterministic unpredictable sequences on a finite number of symbols. We prove the first law of large strings for random processes in discrete time, which confirms…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Marat Akhmet , Astrit Tola

We develop a metric and probabilistic theory for the Ostrogradsky representation of real numbers, i.e., the expansion of a real number $x$ in the following form: \begin{align*} x&= \sum_n\frac{(-1)^{n-1}}{q_1q_2... q_n}=…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-26 S. Albeverio , O. Baranovskyi , M. Pratsiovytyi , G. Torbin

We consider a class of Mean Field Games in which the agents may interact through the statistical distribution of their states and controls. It is supposed that the Hamiltonian behaves like a power of its arguments as they tend to infinity,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Z Kobeissi

We analyze the convergence properties of the two-timescale fictitious play combining the classical fictitious play with the Q-learning for two-player zero-sum stochastic games with player-dependent learning rates. We show its almost sure…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Muhammed O. Sayin , K. Alperen Cetiner

In this work we propose a kinetic formulation for evolutionary game theory for zero sum games when the agents use mixed strategies. We start with a simple adaptive rule, where after an encounter each agent increases the probability of play…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Juan Pablo Pinasco , Mauro Rodriguez-Cartabia , Nicolas Saintier

Evolutionary game theory is a powerful mathematical framework to study how intelligent individuals adjust their strategies in collective interactions. It has been widely believed that it is impossible to unilaterally control players'…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Renfei Tan , Qi Su , Bin Wu , Long Wang

Game Theory concepts have been successfully applied in a wide variety of domains over the past decade. Sports and games are one of the popular areas of game theory application owing to its merits and benefits in solving complex scenarios.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Ambareesh Ravi , Atharva Gokhale , Anchit Nagwekar

A L\'evy noise on $\mathbb{R}^d$ assigns a random real "mass" $\Pi(B)$ to each Borel subset $B$ of $\mathbb{R}^d$ with finite Lebesgue measure. The distribution of $\Pi(B)$ only depends on the Lebesgue measure of $B$, and if $B_1, ..., B_n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Steven N. Evans

The Local Ergodic Theorem (also known as the `Fundamental Theorem') gives sufficient conditions under which a phase point has an open neighborhood that belongs (mod 0) to one ergodic component. This theorem is a key ingredient of many…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-08-12 N. Chernov , N. Simanyi

The paper proposes a natural measure space of zero-sum perfect information games with upper semicontinuous payoffs. Each game is specified by the game tree, and by the assignment of the active player and of the capacity to each node of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-22 János Flesch , Arkadi Predtetchinski , Ville Suomala

This paper gives game-theoretic versions of several results on "merging of opinions" obtained in measure-theoretic probability and algorithmic randomness theory. An advantage of the game-theoretic versions over the measure-theoretic results…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

We establish strong invariance principles for sums of stationary and ergodic processes with nearly optimal bounds. Applications to linear and some nonlinear processes are discussed. Strong laws of large numbers and laws of the iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Wei Biao Wu
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