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Understanding the space-time features of how a L\'evy process crosses a constant barrier for the first time, and indeed the last time, is a problem which is central to many models in applied probability such as queueing theory, financial…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-02 A. Kyprianou , J. C. Pardo , V. Rivero

For a multivariate random walk with i.i.d. jumps satisfying the Cramer moment condition and having a mean vector with at least one negative component, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of ever hitting the positive orthant…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-09 Yuqing Pan , Konstantin Borovkov

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated, in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Fabien Brosset , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

We obtain a new fluctuation identity for a general L\'{e}vy process giving a quintuple law describing the time of first passage, the time of the last maximum before first passage, the overshoot, the undershoot and the undershoot of the last…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. A. Doney , A. E. Kyprianou

Let $S_n$ be partial sums of an i.i.d. sequence $\{X_i\}$. We assume that $\mathbb{E} X_1 <0$ and $\mathbb{P}[X_1>0]>0$. In this paper we study the first passage time $$ \tau_u = \inf\{n:\; S_n > u\}. $$ The classical Cram\'er's estimate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Dariusz Buraczewski , Mariusz Maślanka

Given an autoregressive process X of order p (i.e. X_n = a_1 X_{n-1} + ...+ a_p X_{n_p} + Y_n where the random variables Y_1, Y_2, ... are i.i.d.), we study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the process does not exceed a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Christoph Baumgarten

Let $X=\{X_{t},t\in R_{+}\}$ be a symmetric L\'{e}vy process with local time $\{L^{x}_{t} ; (x,t)\in R^{1}\times R^{1}_{+}\}$. When the L\'{e}vy exponent $\psi(\la)$ is regularly varying at zero with index $1<\beta\leq 2$, and satisfies…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-08 Michael B. Marcus , Jay Rosen

We consider a branching Markov process in continuous time in which the particles evolve independently as spectrally negative L\'evy processes. When the branching mechanism is critical or subcritical, the process will eventually die and we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Christophe Profeta

We study the small deviation problem $\log\mathbb{P}(\sup_{t\in[0,1]}|X_t|\leq\varepsilon)$, as $\varepsilon\to0$, for general L\'{e}vy processes $X$. The techniques enable us to determine the asymptotic rate for general real-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Frank Aurzada , Steffen Dereich

We investigate the upper tail probabilities of the all-time maximum of a stable L\'evy process with a power negative drift. The asymptotic behaviour is shown to be exponential in the spectrally negative case and polynomial otherwise, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Christophe Profeta , Thomas Simon

We wish to characterise when a L\'{e}vy process $X_t$ crosses boundaries like $t^\kappa$, $\kappa>0$, in a one or two-sided sense, for small times $t$; thus, we enquire when $\limsup_{t\downarrow 0}|X_t|/t^{\kappa}$, $\limsup_{t\downarrow…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-08 Jean Bertoin , Ronald A. Doney , Ross A. Maller

We consider the exponential functional $A_{\infty}=\int_0^{\infty} e^{\xi_s} ds$ associated to a Levy process $(\xi_t)_{t \geq 0}$. We find the asymptotic behavior of the tail of this random variable, under some assumptions on the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mejane Olivier

In a variety of problems in pure and applied probability, it is of relevant to study the large exceedance probabilities of the perpetuity sequence $Y_n := B_1 + A_1 B_2 + \cdots + (A_1 \cdots A_{n-1}) B_n$, where $(A_i,B_i) \subset…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Dariusz Buraczewski , Jeffrey F. Collamore , Ewa Damek , Jacek Zienkiewicz

Consider $ m $ copies of an irreducible, aperiodic Markov chain $ Y $ taking values in a finite state space. The asymptotics as $ m $ tends to infinity, of the first time from which on the trajectories of the $ m $ copies differ, have been…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Silvia Businger

For a positive self-similar Markov process, X, we construct a local time for the random set, $\Theta$, of times where the process reaches its past supremum. Using this local time we describe an exit system for the excursions of X out of its…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-10 Loïc Chaumont , Andreas Kyprianou , Juan Carlos Pardo , Víctor Rivero

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a stochastic process $(Z_t)_{t \geq 0}$ does not exceed a constant barrier up to time $T$ (the so called survival probability) when Z is the composition of two independent processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-20 Christoph Baumgarten

The function $\inf_n nx^{1/n}$ has the asymptotics $eu+e d^2(u)/(2u)+O(1/u^2)$ as $x\to\infty$, where $u=\log x$ and $d(u)$ is the distance from $u$ to the nearest integer. We generalize this observation. First, the curves $y=nx^{1/n}$ can…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Sergey Sadov

In this paper we study the probability $\xi_n(u):={\mathbb P}\left(C_n\geqslant u n \right)$, with $C_n:=A(\psi_n B(\varphi_n))$ for L\'{e}vy processes $A(\cdot)$ and $B(\cdot)$, and $\varphi_n$ and $\psi_n$ non-negative sequences such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Mariska Heemskerk , Michel Mandjes

The main purpose of this chapter is to present some theoretical aspects of parametric estimation of L\'evy processes based on high-frequency sampling, with a focus on infinite activity pure-jump models. Asymptotics for several classes of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-02 Hiroki Masuda

In this paper we present some limit theorems for power variation of L\'evy semi-stationary processes in the setting of infill asymptotics. L\'evy semi-stationary processes, which are a one-dimensional analogue of ambit fields, are moving…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Claudio Heinrich , Mark Podolskij