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In this paper we present some new limit theorems for power variation of $k$th order increments of stationary increments L\'evy driven moving averages. In the infill asymptotic setting, where the sampling frequency converges to zero while…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Raphaël Lachièze-Rey , Mark Podolskij

This paper gives sufficent and necessary conditions on a kind of limit results to hold on the precise convergent rate of an infinite series of probabilities on the Chung type law of the iterated logarithm.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-26 Li-Xin Zhang

Let {X_n,n\geq0} be a Markov chain on a general state space X with transition probability P and stationary probability \pi. Suppose an additive component S_n takes values in the real line R and is adjoined to the chain such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Cheng-Der Fuh

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

The existence of moments of first downward passage times of a spectrally negative L\'evy process is governed by the general dynamics of the L\'evy process, i.e. whether the L\'evy process is drifting to $+\infty$, $-\infty$ or oscillates.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-02 Anita Behme , Philipp Lukas Strietzel

The aim of this paper is to get asymptotic deviation bounds via a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for cumulative processes also known as compound renewal processes or renewal-reward processes. These processes cumulate independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Patrick Cattiaux , Laetitia Colombani , Manon Costa

Consider a branching Markov process, $X = (X(t), t \ge 0)$, with non-local branching mechanism. Studying the asymptotic behaviour of the moments of X has recently received attention in the literature [6, 7] due to the importance of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

For a one-dimensional L\'{e}vy process, we derive an explicit formula for the probability of first hitting a specified point among a fixed finite set. Moreover, using this formula, we obtain an explicit expression for each entry of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Kohki Iba

We prove several necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of (smooth) transition probability densities for L\'evy processes and isotropic L\'evy processes. Under some mild conditions on the characteristic exponent we calculate…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-31 V. Knopova , R. L. Schilling

In this work the asymptotic properties of $Q_t(N)$ ,the probability of the number of renewals ($N$), that occur during time $t$ are explored. While the forms of the distribution at very long times, i.e. $t\to\infty$, are very well known and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-02 Stanislav Burov

We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of It\^o semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We study boundary non-crossing probabilities $$ P_{f,u} := \mathrm P\big(\forall t\in \mathbb T\ X_t + f(t)\le u(t)\big) $$ for continuous centered Gaussian process $X$ indexed by some arbitrary compact separable metric space $\mathbb T$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

In this paper we consider convergence of moments in the small-time limit theorems for L\'evy processes. We provide precise asymptotics for all the absolute moments of positive order. The convergence of moments in limit theorems holds…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Danijel Grahovac

We derive explicit asymptotic expansions of the density of the supremum of a strictly stable process when the index $\alpha$ is not rational. In the case when parameters $\alpha$ and $\rho=\p(X_1>0)$ satisfy $\rho+k=l/\alpha$ for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Alexey Kuznetsov

We study the leading term in the small-time asymptotics of at-the-money call option prices when the stock price process $S$ follows a general martingale. This is equivalent to studying the first centered absolute moment of $S$. We show that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-10 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marcel Nutz

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the tail of the distribution of the first passage time of a L\'evy process over a one-sided moving boundary. Our main result states that if the boundary behaves as $t^{\gamma}$ for large $t$ for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-03 Frank Aurzada , Tanja Kramm , Mladen Savov

We consider a branching stable process with positive jumps, i.e. a continuous-time branching process in which the particles evolve independently as stable L{\'e}vy processes with positive jumps. Assuming the branching mechanism is critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Christophe Profeta

For near-critical, transient Markov chains on the non-negative integers in the Lamperti regime, where the mean drift at $x$ decays as $1/x$ as $x \to \infty$, we quantify degree of transience via existence of moments for conditional return…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Chak Hei Lo , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

Let $\{X(t):t\in[0,\infty)\}$ be a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and variance function $\sigma^2_X(t)$. We study the exact asymptotics of ${\mathbb{P}}(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}X(t)>u)$ as $u\to\infty$, where $T$ is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-16 Marek Arendarczyk , Krzysztof Dȩbicki

Last passage times arise in a number of areas of applied probability, including risk theory and degradation models. Such times are obviously not stopping times since they depend on the whole path of the underlying process. We consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-01 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza
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