English

Survival probabilities of some iterated processes

Probability 2011-07-20 v2

Abstract

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a stochastic process (Zt)t0(Z_t)_{t \geq 0} does not exceed a constant barrier up to time TT (the so called survival probability) when Z is the composition of two independent processes (Xt)tI(X_t)_{t \in I} and (Yt)t0(Y_t)_{t \geq 0}. To be precise, we consider (Zt)t0(Z_t)_{t \geq 0} defined by Zt=X\absYtZ_t = X \circ \abs{Y_t} when I=[0,)I = [0,\infty) and Zt=XYtZ_t = X \circ Y_t when I=RI = \mathbb{R}. For continuous self-similar processes (Yt)t0(Y_t)_{t \geq 0}, the rate of decay of survival probability for ZZ can be inferred directly from the survival probability of XX and the index of self-similarity of YY. As a corollary, we obtain that the survival probability for iterated Brownian motion decays asymptotically like T1/2T^{-1/2}. If YY is discontinuous, the range of YY possibly contains gaps which complicates the estimation of the survival probability. We determine the polynomial rate of decay for XX being a L\'{e}vy process (possibly two-sided if I=RI = \mathbb{R}) and YY being a L\'{e}vy process or random walk under suitable moments conditions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1106.2999,
  title  = {Survival probabilities of some iterated processes},
  author = {Christoph Baumgarten},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1106.2999},
  year   = {2011}
}

Comments

31 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-21T18:22:52.613Z