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We consider the urn setting with two different objects, ``good'' and ``bad'', and analyze the number of draws without replacement until a good object is picked. Although the expected number of draws for this setting is a standard textbook…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-07 John Ahlgren

We study the joint asymptotics of forward and backward processes of numbers of non-empty urns in an infinite urn scheme. The probabilities of balls hitting the urns are assumed to satisfy the conditions of regular decrease. We prove weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Mikhail Chebunin , Artyom Kovalevskii

It is well known that in a small P\'olya urn, i.e., an urn where second largest real part of an eigenvalue is at most half the largest eigenvalue, the distribution of the numbers of balls of different colours in the urn is asymptotically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Svante Janson

Drawing (a multiset of) coloured balls from an urn is one of the most basic models in discrete probability theory. Three modes of drawing are commonly distinguished: multinomial (draw-replace), hypergeometric (draw-delete), and Polya…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Bart Jacobs

P\'olya urns are urns where at each unit of time a ball is drawn and replaced with some other balls according to its colour. We introduce a more general model: the replacement rule depends on the colour of the drawn ball and the value of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-04 Cyril Banderier , Philippe Marchal , Michael Wallner

We consider a mean-field dynamical urn model, defined by rules which give the rate at which a ball is drawn from an urn and put in another one, chosen amongst an assembly. At equilibrium, this model possesses a fluid and a condensed phase,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 C. Godreche , J. M. Luck

Consider a P\'olya urn where a drawn ball of colour $i$ is replaced together with a fixed number $m_i$ of balls of the same colour. We give a simple proof that if, for example, there are two colours and the urn starts with more balls of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Svante Janson

We introduce a class of reinforcement models where, at each time step $t$, one first chooses a random subset $A_t$ of colours (independent of the past) from $n$ colours of balls, and then chooses a colour $i$ from this subset with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-03 Remco van der Hofstad , Mark Holmes , Alexey Kuznetsov , Wioletta Ruszel

In this work we generalize Polya urn schemes with possibly infinitely many colors and extend the earlier models described in [4, 5, 7]. We provide a novel and unique approach of representing the observed sequence of colors in terms a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Debleena Thacker

Consider a bin containing $n$ balls colored with two colors. In a $k$-query, $k$ balls are selected by a questioner and the oracle's reply is related (depending on the computation model being considered) to the distribution of colors of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-05-10 Gianluca De Marco , Evangelos Kranakis , Gabor Wiener

We study an urn model introduced in the paper of Chen and Wei, where at each discrete time step $m$ balls are drawn at random from the urn containing colors white and black. Balls are added to the urn according to the inspected colors,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-23 May-Ru Chen , Markus Kuba

The asymptotic behaviour of a generalised P\'olya--Eggenberger urn is well--known to depend on the spectrum of its replacement matrix: If its dominant eigenvalue $r$ is simple and no other eigenvalue is `large' in the sense that its real…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Noela Müller

A cyclic urn is an urn model for balls of types $0,\ldots,m-1$. The urn starts at time zero with an initial configuration. Then, in each time step, first a ball is drawn from the urn uniformly and independently from the past. If its type is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Noela Müller , Ralph Neininger

We consider a system of urns of Polya-type, with balls of two colors; the reinforcement of each urn depends both on the content of the same urn and on the average content of all urns. We show that the urns synchronize almost surely, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida G. Minelli

We consider the distinct elements problem, where the goal is to estimate the number of distinct colors in an urn containing $ k $ balls based on $n$ samples drawn with replacements. Based on discrete polynomial approximation and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang

The generalized allocation scheme is studied. Its extension for coloured balls is defined. Some analogues of the Law of the Iterated Logarithm and the Strong Law of Large Numbers are obtained for the number of boxes containing fixed numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-12 Alexey Chuprunov , István Fazekas

An urn model of Diaconis and some generalizations are discussed. A convergence theorem is proved that implies for Diaconis' model that the empirical distribution of balls in the urn converges with probability one to the uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Siegmund , Benjamin Yakir

A model named `Colored Percolation' has been introduced with its infinite number of versions in two dimensions. The sites of a regular lattice are randomly occupied with probability $p$ and are then colored by one of the $n$ distinct colors…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-13 Sumanta Kundu , S. S. Manna

This paper considers the $(n,k)$-Bernoulli--Laplace model in the case when there are two urns, the total number of red and white balls is the same, and the number of selections $k$ at each step is on the same asymptotic order as the number…

We consider the general version of P\'olya urns recently studied by Bandyopadhyay and Thacker (2016+) and Mailler and Marckert (2017), with the space of colours being any Borel space $S$ and the state of the urn being a finite measure on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Svante Janson