A note on P\'olya urns: the winner may lead all the time
Probability
2025-06-19 v1
Abstract
Consider a P\'olya urn where a drawn ball of colour is replaced together with a fixed number of balls of the same colour. We give a simple proof that if, for example, there are two colours and the urn starts with more balls of colour 1 than 2, and , then there is a positive probability that there always will be more balls of colour 1 than colour 2.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2506.14859,
title = {A note on P\'olya urns: the winner may lead all the time},
author = {Svante Janson},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2506.14859},
year = {2025}
}
Comments
3 pages