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How do sequence models represent their decision-making process? Prior work suggests that Othello-playing neural network learned nonlinear models of the board state (Li et al., 2023). In this work, we provide evidence of a closely related…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-11 Neel Nanda , Andrew Lee , Martin Wattenberg

Consider the following process whereby $n$ balls are distributed into $k$ bins. Repeatedly, a ball is removed from a non-empty bin chosen uniformly at random. The process ends when a single non-empty bin remains. Will Ma…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Jose Correa , Marcos Kiwi , Vasilis Livanos , Eilon Solan , Ron Solan

In this paper, we prove functional limit theorems for P\'olya urn processes whose number of draws and initial number of balls tend to infinity together. This is motivated by recent work of Borovkov [5], where they prove a functional limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Christopher B. C. Dean

Generalized Friedman urn is one of the simplest and most useful models considered in probability theory. Since Athreya and Ney (1972) showed the almost sure convergence of urn proportions in a randomized urn model with irreducible…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Li-Xin Zhang

Mathematics has been used in the exploration and enumeration of juggling patterns. In the case when we catch and throw one ball at a time the number of possible juggling patterns is well-known. When we are allowed to catch and throw any…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Steve Butler , Jeongyoon Choi , Kimyung Kim , Kyuhyeok Seo

In this work we discuss two urn models with general weight sequences $(A,B)$ associated to them, $A=(\alpha_n)_{n\in\N}$ and $B=(\beta_m)_{m\in\N}$, generalizing two well known P\'olya-Eggenberger urn models, namely the so-called sampling…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-05-11 Markus Kuba

Measure-valued P\'olya urn sequences (MVPS) are a generalization of the observation processes generated by $k$-color P\'olya urn models, where the space of colors $\mathbb{X}$ is a complete separable metric space and the urn composition is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Hristo Sariev , Mladen Savov

Let $G$ be a finite Abelian group of order $d$. We consider an urn in which, initially, there are labeled balls that generate the group $G$. Choosing two balls from the urn with replacement, observe their labels, and perform a group…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Li Yang , Jiang Hu , Zhidong Bai

A P\'olya urn process is a Markov chain that models the evolution of an urn containing some coloured balls, the set of possible colours being $\{1,\ldots,d\}$ for $d\in \mathbb{N}$. At each time step, a random ball is chosen uniformly in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-13 Cécile Mailler , Jean-François Marckert

We propose an approach to analyze the asymptotic behavior of P\'olya urns based on the contraction method. For this, a new combinatorial discrete time embedding of the evolution of the urn into random rooted trees is developed. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Margarete Knape , Ralph Neininger

We characterize the identified sets of a wide range of stochastic choice models, including random utility, various models of boundedly-rational behavior, and dynamic discrete choice. In each of these settings, we show two distributions over…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-24 Peter Caradonna , Christopher Turansick

We study survival among two competing types in two settings: a planar growth model related to two-neighbour bootstrap percolation, and a system of urns with graph-based interactions. In the planar growth model, uncoloured sites are given a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Daniel Ahlberg , Simon Griffiths , Svante Janson , Robert Morris

We study two models of the Majority problem. We are given n balls and an unknown coloring of them with two colors. We can ask sets of balls of size k as queries, and in the so-called General Model the answer to a query shows if all the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Dániel Gerbner , Máté Vizer

An urn scheme is a probabilistic model in which balls are placed into urns sequentially and independently of each other. All balls share the same probability distribution for hitting the urns. In the simplest case, there is a finite number…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Berhane Abebe , Mikhail Chebunin , Artyom Kovalevskii

We consider P\'olya urns with infinitely many colours that are of a random walk type, in two related version. We show that the colour distribution a.s., after rescaling, converges to a normal distribution, assuming only second moments on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Svante Janson

We investigate a nonclassic urn model with triggers that increase the number of colors. The scheme has emerged as a model for web services that set up frequently asked questions (FAQ). We present a thorough asymptotic analysis of the FAQ…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti , Leen Hatem , Hosam Mahmoud

For the interacting urn model with polynomial reinforcement, it has been conjectured that almost surely one color monopolizes all the urns if the interaction parameter $p>0$. We disprove the conjecture. For the case $p=1$, we give a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Shuo Qin

We define and prove limit results for a class of dominant P\'olya sequences, which are randomly reinforced urn processes with color-specific random weights and unbounded number of possible colors. Under fairly mild assumptions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Hristo Sariev , Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

This paper concerns two-player alternating play combinatorial games (Conway 1976) in the normal-play convention, i.e. last move wins. Specifically, we study impartial vector subtraction games on tuples of nonnegative integers (Golomb 1966),…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Urban Larsson , Indrajit Saha , Makoto Yokoo

We discuss a model of motion of substance through the nodes of a channel of a network. The channel can be modeled by a chain of urns where each urn can exchange substance with the neighboring urns. In addition the urns can exchange…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-29 Nikolay K. Vitanov , Kaloyan N. Vitanov
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