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By considering any one-dimensional time-homogeneous solvable diffusion process,this paper develops a complete analytical framework for computing the distribution of the last hitting time, to any level, and its joint distribution with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Giuseppe Campolieti , Yaode Sui

It will be discussed the statistics of the extreme values in time series characterized by finite-term correlations with non-exponential decay. Precisely, it will be considered the results of numerical analyses concerning the return…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Cecilia Pennetta

We reprove a result concerning certain ruin in the classical problem of the probability of ruin with risky investments and several of it's generalisations. We also provide the combined transition density of the risk and investment processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 David Maher

We consider the Anderson tight-binding model on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 2$, with Gaussian noise and at low disorder $\lambda>0$. We derive a diffusive scaling limit for the entries of the resolvent $R(z)$ at imaginary part…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Adam Black , Reuben Drogin , Felipe Hernández

We prove sharp estimates for the decay in time of solutions to a rather general class of non-local in time subdiffusion equations on a bounded domain subject to a homogeneous Dirichlet boundary condition. Important special cases are the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-10-02 Vicente Vergara , Rico Zacher

In this work, we consider extensions of the dual risk model with proportional gains by introducing a dependence structure between gain sizes and gain interrarrival times. Among others, we further consider the case where the proportional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

In this paper, we study a multidimensional risk model with a common renewal process and in the presence of a constant interest force. The claim sizes are independent and identically distributed random vectors, with the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Jiajun Liu , Charalampos D. Passalidis

This paper considers a Cram\'er-Lundberg risk setting, where the components of the underlying model change over time. These components could be thought of as the claim arrival rate, the claim-size distribution, and the premium rate, but we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Corina Constantinescu , Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes , Leonardo Rojas Nandayapa

We prove optimal estimates for the decay in time of solutions to a rather general class of non-local in time subdiffusion equations in $\mathbb{R}^d$. An important special case is the time-fractional diffusion equation, which has seen much…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Jukka Kemppainen , Juhana Siljander , Vicente Vergara , Rico Zacher

Numerical evaluation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model is an important problem. If claim sizes are heavy-tailed, then such evaluations are challenging. To overcome this, an attractive way is to approximate the claim sizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-25 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

Typically, aggregation-diffusion is modeled by parabolic equations that combine linear or nonlinear diffusion with a Fokker-Planck convection term. Under very general suitable assumptions, we prove that radial solutions of the evolution…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-12-15 Jose A. Carrillo , David Gómez-Castro , Juan Luis Vázquez

We present and analyse an implicit-explicit timestepping procedure with finite element spatial approximation for a semilinear reaction-diffusion systems on evolving domains arising from biological models, such as Schnakenberg's (1979). We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Omar Lakkis , Anotida Madzvamuse , Chandrasekhar Venkataraman

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of a continuous-time perpetuity and the underlying factors which govern the cash flow rate, in an ergodic Markov model. Two approaches are used to obtain the distribution. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Constantinos Kardaras , Scott Robertson

We solve explicitly the following problem: for a given probability measure mu, we specify a generalised martingale diffusion X which, stopped at an independent exponential time T, is distributed according to mu. The process X is specified…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-10 Alexander M. G. Cox , David G. Hobson , Jan K. Obłój

This article aims to introduced a new lifetime distribution named as exponentiated xgamma distribution (EXGD). The new generalization obtained from xgamma distribution, a special finite mixture of exponential and gamma distributions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Mahendra Saha , Harsh Tripathi , Sumit Kumar

In the extended gambler's ruin problem we can move one step forward or backward (classical gambler's ruin problem), we can stay where we are for a time unit (delayed action) or there can be absorption in the current state (game is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Theo van Uem

The modelling of linear and nonlinear reaction-subdiffusion processes is more subtle than normal diffusion and causes different phenomena. The resulting equations feature a spatial Laplacian with a temporal memory term through a time…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Jichen Yang , Jens D. M. Rademacher

Real count data time series often show the phenomenon of the underdispersion and overdispersion. In this paper, we develop two extensions of the first-order integer-valued autoregressive process with Poisson innovations, based on binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Marcelo Bourguignon , Josemar Rodrigues , Manoel Santos-Neto

In this work, we address the problem of solving a series of underdetermined linear inverse problems subject to a sparsity constraint. We generalize the spike-and-slab prior distribution to encode a priori correlation of the support of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-19 Michael Riis Andersen , Aki Vehtari , Ole Winther , Lars Kai Hansen

We study a model for the spread of an infectious disease which incorporates spatial and temporal effects. The model is a delayed multi-type branching process in which types represent geographic regions while infected individuals reproduce…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Andrew Hart , Servet Martínez