English

Continuous-time perpetuities and time reversal of diffusions

Probability 2016-01-18 v2

Abstract

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of a continuous-time perpetuity and the underlying factors which govern the cash flow rate, in an ergodic Markov model. Two approaches are used to obtain the distribution. The first identifies a partial differential equation for the conditional cumulative distribution function of the perpetuity given the initial factor value, which under certain conditions ensures the existence of a density for the perpetuity. The second (and more general) approach, identifies the joint law as the stationary distribution of an ergodic multi-dimensional diffusion using techniques of time reversal. This later approach allows for efficient use of Monte-Carlo simulation when estimating the distribution, as the distribution is obtained by sampling a single path of the reversed process.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1411.7551,
  title  = {Continuous-time perpetuities and time reversal of diffusions},
  author = {Constantinos Kardaras and Scott Robertson},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1411.7551},
  year   = {2016}
}

Comments

42 pages; added numerical example