English

On $\mathbf{2\times2}$ determinants originating from survival probabilities in homogeneous discrete time risk model

Probability 2022-07-08 v3 Classical Analysis and ODEs

Abstract

We analyze 2×22\times 2 Hankel-like determinants DnD_n that arise in the initial values problem for the ultimate time survival probability φ(u)\varphi(u) in a homogeneous discrete time risk model W(n)=u+κn+i=1nZiW(n)=u+\kappa n+\sum_{i=1}^nZ_i, where ZiZ_i are positive integer valued i.i.d. random claims, the initial surplus uN0u \in \mathbb{N}_0 and the income rate κ=2\kappa=2. We prove the asymptotic version of a recent conjecture on the non--vanishing and monotonicity of DnD_n and derive explicit formulas for the initial values φ(0)\varphi(0), φ(1)\varphi(1) of a recurrence that yields survival probabilities. In cases when ZiZ_i are Bernoulli or Geometrically distributed, the conjecture on DnD_n is shown to hold for all nN0n\in\mathbb{N}_0. Additionally, a generating function Ξ(s)\Xi(s) for ultimate survival probabilities φ(u)\varphi(u) is derived.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2102.06987,
  title  = {On $\mathbf{2\times2}$ determinants originating from survival probabilities in homogeneous discrete time risk model},
  author = {Andrius Grigutis and Jonas Jankauskas},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2102.06987},
  year   = {2022}
}

Comments

V3 revision of a submitted version with incorporated Referee's remarks. 27 pages, 1 figure; minor changes since v2(switched from "t" to "s" in generating functions; corrections of some misprints; additions to acknowledgments, etc.)