English

Light tails: Gibbs conditional principle under extreme deviation

Statistics Theory 2013-05-16 v1 Probability Statistics Theory

Abstract

Let X1,..,XnX_{1},..,X_{n} denote an i.i.d. sample with light tail distribution and S1nS_{1}^{n} denote the sum of its terms; let ana_{n} be a real sequence\ going to infinity with n.n.\ In a previous paper (\cite{BoniaCao}) it is proved that as nn\rightarrow\infty, given (S1n/n>an)\left(S_{1}^{n}/n>a_{n}\right) all terms XiX_{i_{\text{}}} concentrate around ana_{n} with probability going to 1. This paper explores the asymptotic distribution of X1X_{1} under the conditioning events (S1n/n=an)\left(S_{1}^{n}/n=a_{n}\right) and (S1n/nan)\left(S_{1}^{n}/n\geq a_{n}\right) . It is proved that under some regulatity property, the asymptotic conditional distribution of X1X_{1} given (S1n/n=an)\left(S_{1}^{n}/n=a_{n}\right) can be approximated in variation norm by the tilted distribution at point ana_{n}, extending therefore the classical LDP case developed in Diaconis and Freedman (1988) . Also under (S1n/nan)\left(S_{1}^{n}/n\geq a_{n}\right) the dominating point property holds. It also considers the case when the XiX_{i}'s are Rd\mathbb{R}^{d}-valued, ff is a real valued function defined on Rd\mathbb{R}^{d} and the conditioning event writes (U1n/n=an)\left(U_{1}^{n}/n=a_{n}\right) or (U1n/nan)\left(U_{1}^{n}/n\geq a_{n}\right) with U1n:=(f(X1)+..+f(Xn))/nU_{1}^{n}:=\left(f(X_{1})+..+f(X_{n})\right) /n and f(X1)f(X_{1}) has a light tail distribution.. As a by-product some attention is paid to the estimation of high level sets of functions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1305.3482,
  title  = {Light tails: Gibbs conditional principle under extreme deviation},
  author = {Michel Broniatowski and Zhansheng Cao},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1305.3482},
  year   = {2013}
}

Comments

arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:1206.6951, arXiv:1302.1337

R2 v1 2026-06-22T00:16:57.838Z