Guessing the output of a stationary binary time series
Probability
2008-06-19 v1 Information Theory
math.IT
Abstract
The forward prediction problem for a binary time series is to estimate the probability that based on the observations , without prior knowledge of the distribution of the process . It is known that this is not possible if one estimates at all values of . We present a simple procedure which will attempt to make such a prediction infinitely often at carefully selected stopping times chosen by the algorithm. The growth rate of the stopping times is also exhibited.
Cite
@article{arxiv.0710.3760,
title = {Guessing the output of a stationary binary time series},
author = {Gusztav Morvai},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0710.3760},
year = {2008}
}