Do medium range ensemble forecasts give useful predictions of temporal correlations?
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
2007-05-23 v1
Abstract
Medium range ensemble forecasts are typically used to derive predictions of the conditional marginal distributions of future events on individual days. We assess whether they can also be used to predict the conditional correlations between different days.
Cite
@article{arxiv.physics/0310079,
title = {Do medium range ensemble forecasts give useful predictions of temporal correlations?},
author = {Stephen Jewson},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:physics/0310079},
year = {2007}
}