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Control Efficacy on COVID-19

Populations and Evolution 2021-02-24 v1 Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability Physics and Society
Authors: Duanbing Chen , Tao Zhou
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Abstract

We proposed a Monte-Carlo method to estimate temporal reproduction number without complete information about symptom onsets of all cases. Province-level analysis demonstrated the huge success of Chinese control measures on COVID-19, that is, provinces' reproduction numbers quickly decrease to <1 by just one week after taking actions.

Keywords

epidemic modeling and forecasting

Cite

@article{arxiv.2003.00305,
  title  = {Control Efficacy on COVID-19},
  author = {Duanbing Chen and Tao Zhou},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.00305},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

18 pages, 5 figures, 1 table

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