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A fully Bayesian approach is proposed for ultrahigh-dimensional nonparametric additive models in which the number of additive components may be larger than the sample size, though ideally the true model is believed to include only a small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-09-24 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

Due to their great flexibility, nonparametric Bayes methods have proven to be a valuable tool for discovering complicated patterns in data. The term "nonparametric Bayes" suggests that these methods inherit model-free operating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-04-15 Peter D. Hoff

While learning the maximum likelihood value of parameters of an undirected graphical model is hard, modelling the posterior distribution over parameters given data is harder. Yet, undirected models are ubiquitous in computer vision and text…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Max Welling , Sridevi Parise

The interpretation of data in terms of multi-parameter models of new physics, using the Bayesian approach, requires the construction of multi-parameter priors. We propose a construction that uses elements of Bayesian reference analysis. Our…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-08-03 Maurizio Pierini , Harrison B. Prosper , Sezen Sekmen , Maria Spiropulu

Bayesian inference promises a framework for principled uncertainty quantification of neural network predictions. Barriers to adoption include the difficulty of fully characterizing posterior distributions on network parameters and the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Katharine Fisher , Youssef Marzouk

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-16 Peter Orbanz , Daniel M. Roy

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

This paper addresses Bayesian inference related to partial differential equations (PDEs), particularly nonparametric regression constrained by PDEs. To effectively encode prior information, we propose a novel framework that learns a…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-09 Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng , Zongben Xu , Fang Yao

We present a class of models that, via a simple construction, enables exact, incremental, non-parametric, polynomial-time, Bayesian inference of conditional measures. The approach relies upon creating a sequence of covers on the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-05-31 Christos Dimitrakakis

A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization of a Gaussian graphical model for continuous variables in which it is assumed that the variables follow a Gaussian graphical model only after some unknown smooth monotone…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

We present the Gaussian process density sampler (GPDS), an exchangeable generative model for use in nonparametric Bayesian density estimation. Samples drawn from the GPDS are consistent with exact, independent samples from a distribution…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-12-25 Ryan Prescott Adams , Iain Murray , David J. C. MacKay

Although continuous density estimation has received abundant attention in the Bayesian nonparametrics literature, there is limited theory on multivariate mixed scale density estimation. In this note, we consider a general framework to…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-26 Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

We investigate solution methods for large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) via Bayesian inference. The Bayesian framework provides a statistical setting to infer uncertain parameters from noisy…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-02-08 Mina Karimi , Mehrdad Massoudi , Kaushik Dayal , Matteo Pozzi

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

A comprehensive artificial intelligence system needs to not only perceive the environment with different `senses' (e.g., seeing and hearing) but also infer the world's conditional (or even causal) relations and corresponding uncertainty.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-07 Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung