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West African societies are highly dependent on the West African Monsoon (WAM).Thus, a correct representation of the WAM in climate models is of paramount importance. In this article, the ability of 8 CMIP5 historical General Circulation…

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of interannual global climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Recently, we have developed two approaches…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-03-31 Josef Ludescher , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

The teleconnection between European climate and Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) remains difficult to isolate in observations because of internal variability and anthropogenically-forced signals. Using model sensitivity experiments…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-03-18 Saïd Qasmi , Christophe Cassou , Julien Boé

This paper presents a statistical analysis of air temperature data from 32 stations in Italy and the UK up to 2000 m above sea level, from 2002 to 2021. The data came from both highland and lowland areas, in order to evaluate both the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-27 Chalachew Muluken Liyew , Elvira Di Nardo , Rosa Meo , Stefano Ferraris

In recent years extensive studies on the Earth's climate system have been carried out by means of advanced complex network statistics. The great majority of these studies, however, have been focusing on investigating correlation structures…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-10-20 Marc Wiedermann , Jonathan F. Donges , Dörthe Handorf , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

Studying extreme events and how they evolve in a changing climate is one of the most important current scientific challenges. Starting from complex climate models, a key difficulty is to be able to run long enough simulations in order to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-12-27 Francesco Ragone , Jeroen Wouters , Freddy Bouchet

Universal role of the nonlinear one-third subharmonic resonance mechanism in generation of the strong fluctuations in such complex natural dynamical systems as global climate and global solar activity is discussed using wavelet regression…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2012-11-28 A. Bershadskii

We begin by providing observational evidence that the probability of encountering very high and very low annual tropical rainfall has increased significantly in the recent decade (1998-present) as compared to the preceding warming era…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-04-15 Jai Sukhatme , V. Venugopal

The extratropical meridional energy transport in the atmosphere is fundamentally intermittent in nature, having extremes large enough to affect the net seasonal transport. Here, we investigate how these extreme transports are associated…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-27 Valerio Lembo , Federico Fabiano , Vera Melinda Galfi , Rune Graversen , Valerio Lucarini , Gabriele Messori

Tropical monsoons play a critical role in shaping regional and global climate systems, with profound ecological and socio-economic impacts. However, their long-term prediction remains challenging due to the complex interplay of regional…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-02-24 Guanghao Ran , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

Predictions on subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) timescales--ranging from two weeks to two month--are crucial for early warning systems but remain challenging owing to chaos in the climate system. Teleconnections, such as the stratospheric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-11 Philine L. Bommer , Marlene Kretschmer , Fiona R. Spuler , Kirill Bykov , Marina M. -C. Höhne

We construct a network from climate records of atmospheric temperature at surface level, at different geographical sites in the globe, using reanalysis data from years 1948-2010. We find that the network correlates with the North Atlantic…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Oded Guez , Avi Gozolchiani , Yehiel Berezin , Yang Wang , Shlomo Havlin

The skill of current predictions of the warm phase of the El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) reduces significantly beyond a lag of six months. In this paper, we aim to increase this prediction skill at lags up to one year. The new method…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-08-15 Peter D. Nooteboom , Qing Yi Feng , Cristóbal López , Emilio Hernández-García , Henk A. Dijkstra

Seasonal patterns associated with stress modulation, as evidenced by earthquake occurrence, have been detected in regions characterized by present day mountain building and glacial retreat in the Northern Hemisphere. In the Himalaya and the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-03-01 Antonella Peresan , Francesco Cocetta , Giuliano F. Panza

The El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) and pressure across the equatorial Pacific Ocean with a period of 2-7 years. As the largest mode of interannual variability on Earth, ENSO shapes…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-05 PJ Tuckman , Da Yang

Higher variability in rainfall and river discharge could be of major importance in landslide generation in the north-western Argentine Andes. Annual layered (varved) deposits of a landslide dammed lake in the Santa Maria Basin (26 deg S, 66…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 N. Marwan , M. H. Trauth , M. Vuille , J. Kurths

Tropical cyclones (TCs), including hurricanes and typhoons, cause significant property damage and result in fatalities, making it crucial to understand the factors driving extreme TCs. The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences TC…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-10-10 Suchit Basineni

Understanding current global climate requires an understanding of trends both in Earth's atmospheric temperature and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a characteristic large-scale distribution of warm water in the tropical Pacific…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-02-27 L. M. W. Leggett , D. A. Ball

The spatial coherence of a measured variable (e.g. temperature or pressure) is often studied to determine the regions where this variable varies the most or to find teleconnections, i.e. correlations between specific regions. While usual…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-29 Alberto Bernacchia , Philippe Naveau , Mathieu Vrac , Pascal Yiou

Inferring the properties of exoplanets from their atmospheres, while confronting low resolution and low signal-to-noise in the context of the quantities we want to derive, poses rigorous demands upon the data collected from observation.…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-07-27 Theresa Fisher , Hyunju Kim , Camerian Millsaps , Michael Line , Sara Imari Walker