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Causal graphs may inform covariate adjustment for estimating causal effects and improve estimation efficiency by exploiting the graphical structure. In many applications, however, the target causal parameter may not be point-identified due…

Comparing two samples of data, we observe a change in the distribution of an outcome variable. In the presence of multiple explanatory variables, how much of the change can be explained by each possible cause? We develop a new estimation…

The paper provides a new explanation of the low-volatility anomaly. We use the Adaptive Multi-Factor (AMF) model estimated by the Groupwise Interpretable Basis Selection (GIBS) algorithm to find those basis assets significantly related to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-27 Robert A. Jarrow , Rinald Murataj , Martin T. Wells , Liao Zhu

This article focuses on covariance estimation for multi-study data. Popular approaches employ factor-analytic terms with shared and study-specific loadings that decompose the variance into (i) a shared low-rank component, (ii)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Lorenzo Mauri , Niccolò Anceschi , David B. Dunson

This study develops and evaluates a deep reinforcement learning framework for dynamic portfolio allocation across global equity markets. The Soft Actor-Critic algorithm is used to learn continuous portfolio weights within a Markov Decision…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-05-19 Kamil Kashif , Robert Ślepaczuk

Excessive leverage, i.e. the abuse of debt financing, is considered one of the primary factors in the default of financial institutions. Systemic risk results from correlations between individual default probabilities that cannot be…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-03-25 Paolo Tasca , Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

In causal inference, estimating the average treatment effect is a central objective, and in the context of competing risks data, this effect can be quantified by the cause-specific cumulative incidence function (CIF) difference. While…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Yifei Tian , Ying Wu

Many scientific questions in biomedical, environmental, and psychological research involve understanding the effects of multiple factors on outcomes. While factorial experiments are ideal for this purpose, randomized controlled treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-03 Ruoqi Yu , Peng Ding

In this paper, we introduce the rich classes of conditional distortion (CoD) risk measures and distortion risk contribution ($\Delta$CoD) measures as measures of systemic risk and analyze their properties and representations. The classes…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2019-01-29 Jan Dhaene , Roger J. A. Laeven , Yiying Zhang

Accurately estimating risk measures for financial portfolios is critical for both financial institutions and regulators. However, many existing models operate at the aggregate portfolio level and thus fail to capture the complex…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-02-10 Emanuel Sommer , Karoline Bax , Claudia Czado

We statistically analyse a multivariate HJM diffusion model with stochastic volatility. The volatility process of the first factor is left totally unspecified while the volatility of the second factor is the product of an unknown process…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-07 Olivier Féron , Pierre Gruet , Marc Hoffmann

An aggregated method of nonparametric estimators based on time-domain and state-domain estimators is proposed and studied. To attenuate the curse of dimensionality, we propose a factor modeling strategy. We first investigate the asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

In economics, insurance and finance, value at risk (VaR) is a widely used measure of the risk of loss on a specific portfolio of financial assets. For a given portfolio, time horizon, and probability $\alpha$, the $100\alpha\%$ VaR is…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-03-15 Raúl Torres , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado

Systemic risk measures were introduced to capture the global risk and the corresponding contagion effects that is generated by an interconnected system of financial institutions. To this purpose, two approaches were suggested. In the first…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-02-23 Sarah Kaakai , Anis Matoussi , Achraf Tamtalini

The quest for diversification has led to an increasing number of complex funds with a high number of strategies and non-linear payoffs. The new generation of Alternative Risk Premia (ARP) funds are an example that has been very popular in…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2019-06-27 Pascal Traccucci , Luc Dumontier , Guillaume Garchery , Benjamin Jacot

Diet is a risk factor for many diseases. In nutritional epidemiology, studying reproducible dietary patterns is critical to reveal important associations with health. However, it is challenging: diverse cultural and ethnic backgrounds may…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-10 Roberta De Vito , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco

We propose a framework to analyze how multivariate representations disentangle ground-truth generative factors. A quantitative analysis of disentanglement has been based on metrics designed to compare how one variable explains each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-11 Seiya Tokui , Issei Sato

The minimization of some multivariate risk indicators may be used as an allocation method, as proposed in C\'enac et al. [6]. The aim of capital allocation is to choose a point in a simplex, according to a given criterion. In a previous…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-07 Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Didier Rullière , Khalil Said

The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

We combine high-dimensional factor models with fractional integration methods and derive models where nonstationary, potentially cointegrated data of different persistence is modelled as a function of common fractionally integrated factors.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-12 Tobias Hartl