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We introduce a logic for reasoning about evidence, that essentially views evidence as a function from prior beliefs (before making an observation) to posterior beliefs (after making the observation). We provide a sound and complete…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-07-29 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

Anthropic models can give testable predictions, which can be confirmed or falsified at a specified confidence level. This is illustrated using the successful prediction of the cosmological constant as an example. The history and the nature…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-06-20 Alexander Vilenkin

Sensemaking and narrative are two inherently interconnected concepts about how people understand the world around them. Sensemaking is the process by which people structure and interconnect the information they encounter in the world with…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-01-26 Zev Battad , Mei Si

Nature has found one method of organizing living matter, but maybe other options exist -- not yet discovered -- on how to create life. To study the life "as it could be" is the objective of an interdisciplinary field called Artificial Life…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-10-06 Carlos Gershenson , Jitka Cejkova

We present a model where some proportion of extraterrestrial civilizations expand uniformly over time to reach a cosmological scale. We then ask what humanity could infer if a sky survey were to find zero, one, or more such civilizations.…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2021-10-13 S. Jay Olson , Toby Ord

We define an inference system to capture explanations based on causal statements, using an ontology in the form of an IS-A hierarchy. We first introduce a simple logical language which makes it possible to express that a fact causes another…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2010-05-02 Philippe Besnard , Marie-Odile Cordier , Yves Moinard

Civilization produces knowledge, which acts as the driving force of its development. A macro-model of civilization that accounts for the effect of knowledge production on population, energy consumption and environmental conditions is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-02-25 Boris M. Dolgonosov

Explanations of model behavior are commonly evaluated via proxy properties weakly tied to the purposes explanations serve in practice. We contribute a decision theoretic framework that treats explanations as information signals valued by…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Ziyang Guo , Berk Ustun , Jessica Hullman

The aim of this study is to formally express awareness for modeling practical agent communication. The notion of awareness has been proposed as a set of propositions for each agent, to which he/she pays attention, and has contributed to…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2024-02-13 Yudai Kubono , Teeradaj Racharak , Satoshi Tojo

Einstein wrote memorably that `The eternally incomprehensible thing about the world is its comprehensibility.' This paper argues that the universe must be comprehensible at some level for information gathering and utilizing subsystems such…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2016-12-07 James B. Hartle

Bayesian probability theory is used to analyze the oft-made assumption that humans are typical observers in the universe. Some theoretical calculations make the {\it selection fallacy} that we are randomly chosen from a class of objects by…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2008-11-26 James B. Hartle , Mark Srednicki

A growing effort in NLP aims to build datasets of human explanations. However, the term explanation encompasses a broad range of notions, each with different properties and ramifications. Our goal is to provide an overview of diverse types…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Chenhao Tan

We propose a new definition of actual cause, using structural equations to model counterfactuals. We show that the definition yields a plausible and elegant account of causation that handles well examples which have caused problems for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Judea Pearl

Emergence is a pregnant property in various fields. It is the fact for a phenomenon to appear surprisingly and to be such that it seems at first sight that it is not possible to predict its apparition. That is the reason why it has often…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2023-08-23 Hervé Zwirn

The search for extraterrestrial intelligence on exoplanets is a rich field of conceptual exploration. Author introduces two definitions that could help to narrow down the possibilities that an extraterrestrial civilization may or may not…

科普物理 · 物理学 2024-05-15 Elio Quiroga Rodriguez

``The purpose of life is to obtain knowledge, use it to live with as much satisfaction as possible, and pass it on with improvements and modifications to the next generation.'' This may sound philosophical, and the interpretation of words…

量子物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Apoorva Patel

Time series interpretation aims to provide an explanation of what is observed in terms of its underlying processes. The present work is based on the assumption that the common classification-based approaches to time series interpretation…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-12-09 Tomás Teijeiro , Paulo Félix

The theoretical base for consciousness, in particular an explanation of how consciousness is defined by the brain, has long been sought by science. We propose a partial theory of consciousness as relations defined by typical data. The…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2013-01-01 Jonathan W. Mason

Although definitions of technology exist to explain the patterns of technological innovations, there is no general definition that explain the role of technology for humans and other animal species in environment. The goal of this study is…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-09-13 Mario Coccia

In the last years the debate on complexity has been developing and developing in transdisciplinary way to meet the need of explanation for highly organized collective behaviors and sophisticated hierarchical arrangements in physical,…

综合物理 · 物理学 2010-04-26 Ignazio Licata