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We propose a picture of stock market crashes as critical points in a hierachical system with discrete scaling. The critical exponent is then complex, leading to log-periodic fluctuations in stock market indexes. We present ``experimental''…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2015-06-25 James A. Feigenbaum , Peter G. O. Freund

An attempt to construct a phenomenological theory of earthquakes is being undertaken by a small research team, which includes the author. We have only taken the first steps towards goal, but the results already obtained convincingly…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-10-31 A. V. Guglielmi

We present a simple model of earthquakes on a pre-existing hierarchical fault network. The system self-organizes on long time scales in a stationary state with a power law Gutenberg-Richter distribution of earthquake sizes. The largest…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Y. Huang , H. Saleur , C. G. Sammis , D. Sornette

A multicomponent random process used as a model for the problem of space-time earthquake prediction; this allows us to develop consistent estimation for conditional probabilities of large earthquakes if the values of the predictor…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-04-28 V. M. Ghertzik

We explore in depth the validity of a recently proposed scaling law for earthquake interevent time distributions in the case of the Southern California, using the waveform cross-correlation catalog of Shearer et al. Two statistical tests…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-05-14 Alvaro Corral

As an object of study, we chose the global activity of strong earthquakes (M > 7). The subject of the study is the waiting time for the next strong earthquake. The purpose of the study is to compare two distributions of waiting time, one of…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-09-02 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

We study the structural similarity of earthquake networks constructed from seismic catalogs of different geographical regions. A hierarchical clustering of underlying undirected earthquake networks is shown using Jensen-Shannon divergence…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-05-24 Krishanu Deyasi , Abhijit Chakraborty , Anirban Banerjee

In this paper, we used the Global Catalog of the National Earthquake Information Center US Geological Survey (NEIC USGS) for analysis of the magnitude-frequency distribution of earthquakes. We selected the unimodal part of the distribution…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-12-03 A. V. Guglielmi

As part of an effort to develop a systematic methodology for earthquake forecasting, we use a simple model of seismicity based on interacting events which may trigger a cascade of earthquakes, known as the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

Since long back, scientists have been putting enormous effort to understand earthquake dynamics -the goal is to develop a successful prediction scheme which can provide reliable alarm that an earthquake is imminent. Model studies sometimes…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-08-03 Srutarshi Pradhan

In recent years, considerable attention has been paid to research and development methods able to assess the seismic energy propagation on the territory. The seismic energy propagation is strongly related to the complexity of the source and…

Induced seismicity has emerged as a source of a significant earthquake hazard associated with recent development of unconventional energy resources. Therefore, it is imperative to develop stochastic models that can accurately describe the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-10-08 Robert Shcherbakov

Like natural seismicity, induced seismicity caused by fluid injection also shows a power law size distribution, and its gradient b-value (ratio of small to large earthquakes) is often used for seismic hazard analysis. Despite well-known…

The frictional instability associated with earthquake initiation and earthquake dynamics is believed to be mainly controlled by the dynamics of fragmented rocks within the fault gauge. Principal features of the emerging seismicity (e.g.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-07-26 Nauman Hafeez Sultan , Kamran Karimi , Jorn Davidsen

A novel geomechanics concept is presented for studying the behavior of geomaterials and structures by capturing the underlying dynamics as realistically as possible for earthquake excitation applied in time domain. Enormous amount of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-11-21 Achintya Haldara , J. Ramon Gaxiola Camachob , Hamoon Azizsoltanic , Francisco J. Villegas-Mercadoa , S. Mohsen Vazirizadea

We present the first systematic exploration of earth tides-seismicity correlation in northwestern South America, with a special emphasis in Colombia. For this purpose, we use a dataset of ~167,000 earthquakes, gathered by the Colombian…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-01-31 Gloria A. Moncayo , Jorge I. Zuluaga , Gaspar Monsalve

Natural disaster strikes at any given moment from seemingly out of nowhere Akin to earthquake that strongly affects human with different magnitudes through the course of time. The main aim of this study is the fractal analysis of seismic…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-04-28 Santanu Nandi

The optimal scaling problem for the time t(LxL) between two successive events in a seismogenic cell of size L is considered. The quantity t(LxL) is defined for a random cell of a grid covering a seismic region G. We solve that problem in…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 G. Molchan , T. Kronrod

Unfortunately, working scientists sometimes reflexively continue to use "buzz phrases" grounded in once prevalent paradigms that have been subsequently refuted. This can impede both earthquake research and hazard mitigation. Well-worn…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-07-23 Yan. Y. Kagan , David D. Jackson , Robert J. Geller

Catastrophes of all kinds can be roughly defined as short duration-large amplitude events following and followed by long periods of "ripening". Major earthquakes surely belong to the class of 'catastrophic' events. Because of the space-time…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-04 Randall D. Peters , Martine Le Berre , Yves Pomeau
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