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An inductive probabilistic classification rule must generally obey the principles of Bayesian predictive inference, such that all observed and unobserved stochastic quantities are jointly modeled and the parameter uncertainty is fully…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-25 Henrik Nyman , Jie Xiong , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

The paper deals with joint state and parameter estimation for nonlinear continuous-time systems. Based on a guaranteed LPV approximation, the set adaptive observers design problem is solved avoiding the exponential complexity obstruction…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2010-12-06 Denis Efimov , Tarek Raïssi , Ali Zolghadri

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of observations related to the state is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-03-25 Benjamin Cox , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

This work presents a scalable control framework based on nonlinear Model Predictive Control for high-dimensional dynamical systems. The proposed approach addresses the key challenges of model scalability and partial observability by…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-11-25 Luigi Marra , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin , Andrea Meilán-Vila , Stefano Discetti

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

This paper studies the task of estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal panel data models, in the presence of covariate effects. We propose a novel Covariate-Adjusted Deep Causal Learning (CoDEAL) for panel data models, that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-28 Guanhao Zhou , Yuefeng Han , Xiufan Yu

This paper analyzes a semiparametric model of network formation in the presence of unobserved agent-specific heterogeneity. The objective is to identify and estimate the preference parameters associated with homophily on observed attributes…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-09-01 Luis E. Candelaria

This paper develops a new model and estimation procedure for panel data that allows us to identify heterogeneous structural breaks. We model individual heterogeneity using a grouped pattern. For each group, we allow common structural breaks…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-11-27 Ryo Okui , Wendun Wang

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

In this paper we address the challenging problem of designing globally convergent estimators for the parameters of nonlinear systems containing a non-separable exponential nonlinearity. This class of terms appears in many practical…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-11-17 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Ramon Costa-Castello , Nikolay Nikolaev

Sufficiently accurate finite state models, also called symbolic models or discrete abstractions, allow one to apply fully automated methods, originally developed for purely discrete systems, to formally reason about continuous and hybrid…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-11-03 Gunther Reißig

This paper develops statistical methods for determining the number of components in panel data finite mixture regression models with regression errors independently distributed as normal or more flexible normal mixtures. We analyze the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-12 Yu Hao , Hiroyuki Kasahara

We consider generalized linear regression analysis with left-censored covariate due to the lower limit of detection. Complete case analysis by eliminating observations with values below limit of detection yields valid estimates for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-09 Shengchun Kong , Bin Nan

Latent autoregressive processes are a popular choice to model time varying parameters. These models can be formulated as nonlinear state space models for which inference is not straightforward due to the high number of parameters. Therefore…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-01 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

This paper discusses a general framework for designing robust state estimators for a class of discrete-time nonlinear systems. We consider systems that may be impacted by impulsive (sparse but otherwise arbitrary) measurement noise…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-13 Laurent Bako , Madiha Nadri , Vincent Andrieu , Qinghua Zhang

In longitudinal studies, subjects may be lost to follow-up, or miss some of the planned visits, leading to incomplete response sequences. When the probability of non-response, conditional on the available covariates and the observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-10 Alessandra Spagnoli , Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfò

We describe a novel procedure for deciding when a mass-action model is incompatible with observed steady-state data that does not require any parameter estimation. Thus, we avoid the difficulties of nonlinear optimization typically…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-05-30 Heather A. Harrington , Kenneth L. Ho , Thomas Thorne , Michael P. H. Stumpf

We introduce a nonresponse mechanism for multivariate missing data in which each study variable and its nonresponse indicator are conditionally independent given the remaining variables and their nonresponse indicators. This is a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-05 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter

Many panel data methods, while allowing for general dependence between covariates and time-invariant agent-specific heterogeneity, place strong a priori restrictions on feedback: how past outcomes, covariates, and heterogeneity map into…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-15 Stéphane Bonhomme , Kevin Dano , Bryan S. Graham

Panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity in the form of interactive effects standardly assume that the time effects -- or ``common factors'' -- enter linearly. This assumption is restrictive because it concerns an unobserved…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-29 Christina Maschmann , Joakim Westerlund
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