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This article presents methods for estimating extreme probabilities, beyond the range of the observations. These methods are model-free and applicable to almost any sample size. They are grounded in order statistics theory and have a wide…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-04-03 Joan del Castillo , Pedro Puig

Time-to-event models are a popular tool to analyse data where the outcome variable is the time to the occurrence of a specific event of interest. Here we focus on the analysis of time-to-event outcomes that are either intrisically discrete…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-14 Moritz Berger , Matthias Schmid

Nonparametric mixture models based on the Dirichlet process are an elegant alternative to finite models when the number of underlying components is unknown, but inference in such models can be slow. Existing attempts to parallelize…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-12-03 Sinead A. Williamson , Avinava Dubey , Eric P. Xing

State-space models are ubiquitous in the statistical literature since they provide a flexible and interpretable framework for analyzing many time series. In most practical applications, the state-space model is specified through a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-18 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet

A nonparametric model using a sequence of Bernstein polynomials is constructed to approximate arbitrary isotropic covariance functions valid in $\mathbb{R}^\infty$ and related approximation properties are investigated using the popular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Yiming Wang , Sujit K. Ghosh

This paper considers nonparametric identification and estimation of the regression function when a covariate is mismeasured. The measurement error need not be classical. Employing the small measurement error approximation, we establish…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-19 Kirill S. Evdokimov , Andrei Zeleneev

Health-policy planning requires evidence on the burden that epidemics place on healthcare systems. Multiple, often dependent, datasets provide a noisy and fragmented signal from the unobserved epidemic process including transmission and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-11 Alice Corbella , Anne M Presanis , Paul J Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

In the age of big data, nonprobability surveys are becoming increasingly abundant. Data integration techniques involving both probability and nonprobability surveys are being extensively used for providing improved estimates for finite…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-17 Aditi Sen , Partha Lahiri

Modern scientific computational methods are undergoing a transformative change; big data and statistical learning methods now have the potential to outperform the classical first-principles modeling paradigm. This book bridges this…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-03-22 John Harlim

Probabilistic inference is a fundamental task in modern machine learning. Recent advances in tensor network (TN) contraction algorithms have enabled the development of better exact inference methods. However, many common inference tasks in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Martin Roa-Villescas , Xuanzhao Gao , Sander Stuijk , Henk Corporaal , Jin-Guo Liu

This paper aims at identifying emerging computational intelligence trends for the design and modeling of complex biometric-enabled infrastructure and systems. Biometric-enabled systems are evolving towards deep learning and deep inference…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-06-23 Svetlana Yanushkevich , Shawn Eastwood , Kenneth Lai , Vlad Shmerko

The class of composite likelihood functions provides a flexible and powerful toolkit to carry out approximate inference for complex statistical models when the full likelihood is either impossible to specify or unfeasible to compute.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-25 Nicola Lunardon , Elvezio Ronchetti

Through extended consideration of two wide classes of case studies -- dilute gases and linear systems -- I explore the ways in which assumptions of probability and irreversibility occur in contemporary statistical mechanics, where the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-04-23 David Wallace

This article presents new methodology for sample-based Bayesian inference when data are partitioned and communication between the parts is expensive, as arises by necessity in the context of "big data" or by choice in order to take…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Marc Box

We propose a new approach that combines multiple non-parametric likelihood-type components to build a data-driven approximation of the true likelihood function. Our approach is built on empirical likelihood, a non-parametric approximation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

The paper overviews and investigates several nonparametric methods of estimating covariograms. It provides a unified approach and notation to compare the main approaches used in applied research. The primary focus is on methods that utilise…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Adam Bilchouris , Andriy Olenko

This paper explores the versatility and depth of Bayesian modeling by presenting a comprehensive range of applications and methods, combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques and variational approximations. Covering topics such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos A. Martínez

Recent advances in statistical learning theory have revealed profound connections between mutual information (MI) bounds, PAC-Bayesian theory, and Bayesian nonparametrics. This work introduces a novel mutual information bound for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-18 El Mahdi Khribch , Pierre Alquier
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