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相关论文: Sequential Monte Carlo smoothing with application …

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An effective approach for sampling from unnormalized densities is based on the idea of gradually transporting samples from an easy prior to the complicated target distribution. Two popular methods are (1) Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), where…

Bayesian inference methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) typically require repeated computations of the likelihood function, but in some scenarios this is infeasible and alternative methods are needed. Simulation-based inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Linnea M Wolniewicz , Peter Sadowski , Claudio Corti

In this paper we consider sequential joint state and static parameter estimation given discrete time observations associated to a partially observed stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). It is assumed that one can only estimate…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-09-11 Yaxian Xu , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law

This paper investigates a novel a-posteriori variance reduction approach in Monte Carlo image synthesis. Unlike most established methods based on lateral filtering in the image space, our proposition is to produce the best possible estimate…

图形学 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Oskar Elek , Manu M. Thomas , Angus Forbes

To estimate the smoothing distribution in a nonlinear state space model, we apply the conditional particle filter with ancestor sampling. This gives an iterative algorithm in a Markov chain Monte Carlo fashion, with asymptotic convergence…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-09-17 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Manon Kok

To deal with very large datasets a mini-batch version of the Monte Carlo Markov Chain Stochastic Approximation Expectation-Maximization algorithm for general latent variable models is proposed. For exponential models the algorithm is shown…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-08-30 Tabea Rebafka , Estelle Kuhn , Catherine Matias

As it has become common to use many computer cores in routine applications, finding good ways to parallelize popular algorithms has become increasingly important. In this paper, we present a parallelization scheme for Markov chain Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-01 Guillaume W. Basse , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

Data augmentation improves the convergence of iterative algorithms, such as the EM algorithm and Gibbs sampler by introducing carefully designed latent variables. In this article, we first propose a data augmentation scheme for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-06 Linda S. L. Tan

Inference-time methods that aggregate and prune multiple samples have emerged as a powerful paradigm for steering large language models, yet we lack any principled understanding of their accuracy-cost tradeoffs. In this paper, we introduce…

We construct a new framework for accelerating Markov chain Monte Carlo in posterior sampling problems where standard methods are limited by the computational cost of the likelihood, or of numerical models embedded therein. Our approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-06 Patrick R. Conrad , Youssef M. Marzouk , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Adaptive Monte Carlo schemes developed over the last years usually seek to ensure ergodicity of the sampling process in line with MCMC tradition. This poses constraints on what is possible in terms of adaptation. In the general case…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-22 Ingmar Schuster

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and related algorithms have become routinely used in Bayesian computation. In this article, we present a simple and provably accurate method to improve the efficiency of HMC and related algorithms with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-10 Akihiko Nishimura , David Dunson

This paper introduces a spectral Monte Carlo iterative method (SMC) for solving linear Poisson and parabolic equations driven by $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process with $\alpha\in (0,2)$, which was initially proposed and developed by Gobet and…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-02-24 Jiaying Feng , Changtao Sheng , Chenglong Xu

In this article we consider the smoothing problem for hidden Markov models (HMM). Given a hidden Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ and observations $\{Y_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, our objective is to compute…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-20 Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra , Sumeetpal S. Singh

In this article we consider the approximation of expectations w.r.t. probability distributions associated to the solution of partial differential equations (PDEs); this scenario appears routinely in Bayesian inverse problems. In practice,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Raul Tempone , Yan Zhou

This paper concerns the use of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for posterior sampling in Bayesian nonparametric mixture models with normalized random measure priors. Making use of some recent posterior characterizations for the class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-03 Stefano Favaro , Yee Whye Teh

Methods of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly used for analysis of complex models. A major challenge for ABC is over-coming the often inherent problem of high rejection rates in the accept/reject methods based on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-27 Fernando V. Bonassi , Mike West

We provide a framework which admits a number of ``marginal'' sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms as particular cases -- including the marginal particle filter [Klaas et al., 2005, in: Proceedings of Uncertainty in Artificial…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-03-08 Francesca R. Crucinio , Adam M. Johansen

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling methods are widely applied in Bayesian inference, system simulation and optimization problems. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a well-known class of MC methods which generate a Markov chain with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira
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