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The estimation of coverage probabilities, and in particular of the missing mass, is a classical statistical problem with applications in numerous scientific fields. In this paper, we study this problem in relation to randomized data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Stefano Favaro , Matteo Sesia

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

A class of random hazard rates, which is defined as a mixture of an indicator kernel convolved with a completely random measure, is of interest. We provide an explicit characterization of the posterior distribution of this mixture hazard…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Man-Wai Ho

The use of non parametric hidden Markov models with finite state space is flourishing in practice while few theoretical guarantees are known in this framework. Here, we study asymptotic guarantees for these models in the Bayesian framework.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-30 Elodie Vernet

Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

This paper concerns the use of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for posterior sampling in Bayesian nonparametric mixture models with normalized random measure priors. Making use of some recent posterior characterizations for the class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-03 Stefano Favaro , Yee Whye Teh

Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-21 Shota Gugushvili , Ester Mariucci , Frank van der Meulen

How might a smooth probability distribution be estimated, with accurately quantified uncertainty, from a limited amount of sampled data? Here we describe a field-theoretic approach that addresses this problem remarkably well in one…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-10-24 Wei-Chia Chen , Ammar Tareen , Justin B. Kinney

Bayesian models offer great flexibility for clustering applications---Bayesian nonparametrics can be used for modeling infinite mixtures, and hierarchical Bayesian models can be utilized for sharing clusters across multiple data sets. For…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-15 Brian Kulis , Michael I. Jordan

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

We present a Bayesian inference methodology for the estimation of orbital parameters on single-line spectroscopic binaries with astrometric data, based on the No-U-Turn sampler Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Our approach is designed to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-04-27 Miguel Videla , Rene A. Mendez , Ruben M. Claveria , Jorge F. Silva , Marcos E. Orchard

When statistical analyses consider multiple data sources, Markov melding provides a method for combining the source-specific Bayesian models. Markov melding joins together submodels that have a common quantity. One challenge is that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-17 Andrew A. Manderson , Robert J. B. Goudie

Unimodality constitutes a key property indicating grouping behavior of the data around a single mode of its density. We propose a method that partitions univariate data into unimodal subsets through recursive splitting around valley points…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Paraskevi Chasani , Aristidis Likas

The proposal and study of dependent prior processes has been a major research focus in the recent Bayesian nonparametric literature. In this paper, we introduce a flexible class of dependent nonparametric priors, investigate their…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-03 Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

Rating procedure is crucial in many applied fields (e.g., educational, clinical, emergency). It implies that a rater (e.g., teacher, doctor) rates a subject (e.g., student, doctor) on a rating scale. Given raters variability, several…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Giuseppe Mignemi , Ioanna Manolopoulou

Grouped data are commonly encountered in applications. The Bernstein polynomial model is proposed as an approximate model in this paper for estimating a univariate density function based on grouped data. The coefficients of the Bernstein…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-21 Zhong Guan

Datasets containing large samples of time-to-event data arising from several small heterogeneous groups are commonly encountered in statistics. This presents problems as they cannot be pooled directly due to their heterogeneity or analyzed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-05 Alexandre Piché , Russell Steele , Ian Shrier , Stephanie Long

Bayesian density deconvolution using nonparametric prior distributions is a useful alternative to the frequentist kernel based deconvolution estimators due to its potentially wide range of applicability, straightforward uncertainty…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-10 Abhra Sarkar , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick , Raymond J. Carroll

Measure-valued Markov chains have raised interest in Bayesian nonparametrics since the seminal paper by (Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 105 (1989) 579--585) where a Markov chain having the law of the Dirichlet process as unique…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-27 Stefano Favaro , Alessandra Guglielmi , Stephen G. Walker

Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan