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相关论文: Spatial extremes: Models for the stationary case

200 篇论文

The extremal index is an important parameter in the characterization of extreme values of a stationary sequence. Our new estimation approach for this parameter is based on the extremal behavior under the local dependence condition…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-11 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

Natural disasters may have considerable impact on society as well as on (re)insurance industry. Max-stable processes are ideally suited for the modeling of the spatial extent of such extreme events, but it is often assumed that there is no…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-29 Paul Embrechts , Erwan Koch , Christian Robert

In recent years, parametric models for max-stable processes have become a popular choice for modeling spatial extremes because they arise as the asymptotic limit of rescaled maxima of independent and identically distributed random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-14 Carolin Forster , Marco Oesting

Environmental data science for spatial extremes has traditionally relied heavily on max-stable processes. Even though the popularity of these models has perhaps peaked with statisticians, they are still perceived and considered as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-01 Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

A central issue in the theory of extreme values focuses on suitable conditions such that the well-known results for the limiting distributions of the maximum of i.i.d. sequences can be applied to stationary ones. In this context, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-07 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

Non-stationary extremal dependence, whereby the relationship between the extremes of multiple variables evolves over time, is commonly observed in many environmental and financial data sets. However, most multivariate extreme value models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-29 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth , M. de Carvalho , B. D. Youngman

For many environmental processes, recent studies have shown that the dependence strength is decreasing when quantile levels increase. This implies that the popular max-stable models are inadequate to capture the rate of joint tail decay,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-14 Raphael Huser , Thomas Opitz , Emeric Thibaud

Statistical methods for inference on spatial extremes of large datasets are yet to be developed. Motivated by standard dimension reduction techniques used in spatial statistics, we propose an approach based on empirical basis functions to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-02 Samuel A. Morris , Brian J. Reich , Emeric Thibaud

Extreme environmental events such as severe storms, drought, heat waves, flash floods, and abrupt species collapse have become more prevalent in the earth-atmosphere dynamic system in recent years. In order to fully understand the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Myungsoo Yoo , Likun Zhang , Christopher K. Wikle , Thomas Opitz

The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Axel Bücher , Yeonjoon Choi , Katharina Effertz , Stanislav Volgushev

Modeling nonstationarity that often prevails in extremal dependence of spatial data can be challenging, and typically requires bespoke or complex spatial models that are difficult to estimate. Inference for stationary and isotropic models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Xuanjie Shao , Jordan Richards , Raphael Huser

The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-02-23 Simone A. Padoan , Mathieu Ribatet , Scott A. Sisson

We tackle the modeling of threshold exceedances in asymptotically independent stochastic processes by constructions based on Laplace random fields. These are defined as Gaussian random fields scaled with a stochastic variable following an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-09 Thomas Opitz

We consider stationary configurations of points in Euclidean space which are marked by positive random variables called scores. The scores are allowed to depend on the relative positions of other points and outside sources of randomness.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-25 Bojan Basrak , Ilya Molchanov , Hrvoje Planinić

In this paper, we introduce a new class of models for spatial data obtained from max-convolution processes based on indicator kernels with random shape. We show that this class of models have appealing dependence properties including tail…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Pavel Krupskii , Raphaël Huser

We investigate a family of discrete-time stationary processes defined by multiple stable integrals and renewal processes with infinite means. The model may exhibit behaviors of short-range or long-range dependence, respectively, depending…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-29 Shuyang Bai , Yizao Wang

Classical models for multivariate or spatial extremes are mainly based upon the asymptotically justified max-stable or generalized Pareto processes. These models are suitable when asymptotic dependence is present, i.e., the joint tail…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-13 Zhongwei Zhang , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

The modeling of spatio-temporal trends in temperature extremes can help better understand the structure and frequency of heatwaves in a changing climate. Here, we study annual temperature maxima over Southern Europe using a century-spanning…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-08 Peng Zhong , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

The goal of this paper is two-fold: 1. We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. 2. We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series,…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-27 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao