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These lecture notes highlight the mathematical and computational structure relating to the formulation of, and development of algorithms for, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems in differential equations. This approach is fundamental…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-03 Masoumeh Dashti , Andrew M. Stuart

Recently nonparametric functional model with functional responses has been proposed within the functional reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (fRKHS) framework. Motivated by its superior performance and also its limitations, we propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-11 Heng Lian

We present a Bayesian model for pairwise nonlinear registration of functional data. We use the Riemannian geometry of the space of warping functions to define appropriate prior distributions and sample from the posterior using importance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Sebastian Kurtek

Nonparametric Bayesian models are used routinely as flexible and powerful models of complex data. Many times, a statistician may have additional informative beliefs about data distribution of interest, e.g., its mean or subset components,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Bingjing Tang , Vinayak Rao

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Bayesian inference is applied directly to the problem of unfolding. The outcome is a posterior probability density for the spectrum before smearing, defined in the multi-dimensional space of all possible spectra. Regularization consists in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-06-01 Georgios Choudalakis

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

We apply a linear Bayesian model to seismic tomography, a high-dimensional inverse problem in geophysics. The objective is to estimate the three-dimensional structure of the earth's interior from data measured at its surface. Since this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-12-11 Ran Zhang , Claudia Czado , Karin Sigloch

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization, rather than using a single setting of weights. Bayesian marginalization can particularly improve the accuracy and calibration of modern deep neural networks, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Pavel Izmailov

It is argued that the Calibrated Bayesian (CB) approach to statistical inference capitalizes on the strength of Bayesian and frequentist approaches to statistical inference. In the CB approach, inferences under a particular model are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-08-10 Roderick Little

Bayesian optimization is a popular framework for the optimization of black box functions. Multifidelity methods allows to accelerate Bayesian optimization by exploiting low-fidelity representations of expensive objective functions. Popular…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Francesco Di Fiore , Laura Mainini

Bayesian inference provides a rigorous methodology for estimation and uncertainty quantification of parameters in geophysical forward models. Badlands (basin and landscape dynamics model) is a landscape evolution model that simulates…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-07-06 Rohitash Chandra , Danial Azam , R. Dietmar Müller , Tristan Salles , Sally Cripps

Bayesian quadrature is a probabilistic, model-based approach to numerical integration, the estimation of intractable integrals, or expectations. Although Bayesian quadrature was popularised already in the 1980s, no systematic and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Maren Mahsereci , Toni Karvonen

Challenging research in various fields has driven a wide range of methodological advances in variable selection for regression models with high-dimensional predictors. In comparison, selection of nonlinear functions in models with additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-03-05 Fabian Scheipl , Thomas Kneib , Ludwig Fahrmeir

We consider the proximal gradient method on Riemannian manifolds for functions that are possibly not geodesically convex. Starting from the forward-backward-splitting, we define an intrinsic variant of the proximal gradient method that uses…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-06-12 Ronny Bergmann , Hajg Jasa , Paula John , Max Pfeffer

Collected data, which is used for analysis or prediction tasks, often have a hierarchical structure, for example, data from various people performing the same task. Modeling the data's structure can improve the reliability of the derived…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-12 Dennis Becker

Regression is an essential and fundamental methodology in statistical analysis. The majority of the literature focuses on linear and nonlinear regression in the context of the Euclidean space. However, regression models in non-Euclidean…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-06 Jinzhao Liu , Chao Liu , Jian Qing Shi , Tom Nye

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

In this short note, we consider the problem of estimating multivariate hypergeometric parameters under squared error loss when side information in aggregated data is available. We use the symmetric multinomial prior to obtain Bayes…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-08 Yasuyuki Hamura