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In this work, we study the problem of aggregating a finite number of predictors for nonstationary sub-linear processes. We provide oracle inequalities relying essentially on three ingredients: (1) a uniform bound of the $\ell^1$ norm of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-18 Christophe Giraud , François Roueff , Andres Sanchez-Perez

We consider a recursive algorithm to construct an aggregated estimator from a finite number of base decision rules in the classification problem. The estimator approximately minimizes a convex risk functional under the l1-constraint. It is…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Anatoli Juditsky , Alexander Nazin , Alexandre Tsybakov , Nicolas Vayatis

Motivated by a variety of applications, high-dimensional time series have become an active topic of research. In particular, several methods and finite-sample theories for individual stable autoregressive processes with known lag have…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-06 Somnath Chakraborty , Johannes Lederer , Rainer von Sachs

We study a minimax risk of estimating inverse functions on a plane, while keeping an estimator is also invertible. Learning invertibility from data and exploiting an invertible estimator are used in many domains, such as statistics,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-27 Akifumi Okuno , Masaaki Imaizumi

Optimal estimation and inference for both the minimizer and minimum of a convex regression function under the white noise and nonparametric regression models are studied in a nonasymptotic local minimax framework, where the performance of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-12 T. Tony Cai , Ran Chen , Yuancheng Zhu

In this paper we consider high dimension models based on dependent observations defined through autoregressive processes. For such models we develop an adaptive efficient estimation method via the robust sequential model selection…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-19 Ouerdia Arkoun , Jean-Yves Brua , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

The nonparametric regression with a random design model is considered. We want to recover the regression function at a point x where the design density is vanishing or exploding. Depending on assumptions on the regression function local…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Stéphane Gaiffas

We present an algorithm for minimizing the sum of a strongly convex time-varying function with a time-invariant, convex, and nonsmooth function. The proposed algorithm employs the prediction-correction scheme alongside the forward-backward…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-07 Nicola Bastianello , Andrea Simonetto , Ruggero Carli

In this paper, we study nonparametric estimation of instrumental variable (IV) regressions. Recently, many flexible machine learning methods have been developed for instrumental variable estimation. However, these methods have at least one…

We consider the nonparametric regression with a random design model, and we are interested in the adaptive estimation of the regression at a point $x\_0$ where the design is degenerate. When the design density is $\beta$-regularly varying…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Stéphane Gaiffas

This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-12-06 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

We consider maximum likelihood estimation for both causal and noncausal autoregressive time series processes with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable noise. A nondegenerate limiting distribution is given for maximum likelihood estimators of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-14 Beth Andrews , Matthew Calder , Richard A. Davis

We develop a new methodology for the fitting of nonstationary time series that exhibit nonlinearity, asymmetry, local persistence and changes in location scale and shape of the underlying distribution. In order to achieve this goal, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-29 Alexander Aue , Rex C. Y. Cheung , Thomas C. M. Lee , Ming Zhong

In the fields of sociology and economics, the modeling of matrix-variate integervalued time series is urgent. However, no prior studies have addressed the modeling of such data. To address this topic, this paper proposes a novel…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-10 Nuo Xu , Kai Yang , Fukang Zhu

This paper focuses on investigating an inexact stochastic model-based optimization algorithm that integrates preconditioning techniques for solving stochastic composite optimization problems. The proposed framework unifies and extends the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-12 Chenglong Bao , Yancheng Yuan , Shulan Zhu

A new multivariate stochastic volatility estimation procedure for financial time series is proposed. A Wishart autoregressive process is considered for the volatility precision covariance matrix, for the estimation of which a two step…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2013-11-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

For nonparametric regression with one-sided errors and a boundary curve model for Poisson point processes we consider the problem of efficient estimation for linear functionals. The minimax optimal rate is obtained by an unbiased estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-25 Markus Reiß , Leonie Selk