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We consider a controlled second order differential equation which is partially observed with an additional fractional noise. we study the asymptotic (for large observation time) design problem of the input and give an efficient estimator of…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-09 Chunhao Cai , Wujun LV

We treat the change point problem in ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Tonaki et al. (2020) proposed adaptive tests for detecting changes in the diffusion and drift parameters in ergodic diffusion models. When any…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

In this paper we consider the problem of detecting a change in the parameters of an autoregressive process, where the moments of the innovation process do not necessarily exist. An empirical likelihood ratio test for the existence of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-07 Fumiya Akashi , Holger Dette , Yan Liu

The problem of quickest detection of a change in distribution is considered under the assumption that the pre-change distribution is known, and the post-change distribution is only known to belong to a family of distributions…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-30 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

Detecting regime shifts in chaotic time series is hard because observation-space signals are entangled with intrinsic variability. We propose Parameter--Space Changepoint Detection (Param--CPD), a two--stage framework that first amortizes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Xiangbo Deng , Cheng Chen , Peng Yang

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While…

机器学习 · 统计学 2007-10-22 Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

We consider the gamma process perturbed by a Brownian motion (independent of the gamma process) as a degradation model. Parameters estimation is studied here. We assume that $n$ independent items are observed at irregular instants. From…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-06-16 Laurent Bordes , Christian Paroissin , Ali Salami

Change-point detection studies the problem of detecting the changes in the underlying distribution of the data stream as soon as possible after the change happens. Modern large-scale, high-dimensional, and complex streaming data call for…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-05 Haoyun Wang , Yao Xie

A change point detection procedure using the method of moment estimators is proposed. The test statistics is based on a suitable $Z$-process. The asymptotic behavior of this process is established under both the null and the alternative…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-08 Ilia Negri , Yoichi Nishiyama

We consider the problem of locating a jump discontinuity (change-point) in a smooth parametric regression model with a bounded covariate. It is assumed that one can sample the covariate at different values and measure the corresponding…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-14 Yan Lan , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

The aim of online monitoring is to issue an alarm as soon as there is significant evidence in the collected observations to suggest that the underlying data generating mechanism has changed. This work is concerned with open-end,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-21 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

We discuss parametric estimation of a degenerate diffusion system from time-discrete observations. The first component of the degenerate diffusion system has a parameter $\theta_1$ in a non-degenerate diffusion coefficient and a parameter…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-25 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

The detection of change-points in a spatially or time ordered data sequence is an important problem in many fields such as genetics and finance. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a statistic recently suggested for detecting…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-01 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , David Mason

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

In some estimation problems, especially in applications dealing with information theory, signal processing and biology, theory provides us with additional information allowing us to restrict the parameter space to a finite number of points.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-25 Christine Choirat , Raffaello Seri