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Solomonoff's inductive learning model is a powerful, universal and highly elegant theory of sequence prediction. Its critical flaw is that it is incomputable and thus cannot be used in practice. It is sometimes suggested that it may still…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Shane Legg

While likelihood-based inference and its variants provide a statistically efficient and widely applicable approach to parametric inference, their application to models involving intractable likelihoods poses challenges. In this work, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-17 Francois-Xavier Briol , Alessandro Barp , Andrew B. Duncan , Mark Girolami

We propose a general framework to design posterior sampling methods for model-based RL. We show that the proposed algorithms can be analyzed by reducing regret to Hellinger distance in conditional probability estimation. We further show…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Alekh Agarwal , Tong Zhang

When multiple models are considered in regression problems, the model averaging method can be used to weigh and integrate the models. In the present study, we examined how the goodness-of-prediction of the estimator depends on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-21 Ryo Ando , Fumiyasu Komaki

To investigate the theoretical foundations of deep learning from the viewpoint of the minimum description length (MDL) principle, we analyse risk bounds of MDL estimators based on two-stage codes for simple two-layers neural networks (NNs)…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Yoshinari Takeishi , Jun'ichi Takeuchi

We study asymptotic properties of $M$-estimates of regression parameters in linear models in which errors are dependent. Weak and strong Bahadur representations of the $M$-estimates are derived and a central limit theorem is established.…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Wei Biao Wu

We derive asymptotic properties of penalized estimators for singular models for which identifiability may break and the true parameter values can lie on the boundary of the parameter space. Selection consistency of the estimators is also…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-24 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

A formal link between regression and classification has been tenuous. Even though the margin maximization term $\|w\|$ is used in support vector regression, it has at best been justified as a regularizer. We show that a regression problem…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Jayadeva , Naman Dwivedi , Hari Krishnan , N. M. Anoop Krishnan

Modern generative and vision-language models (VLMs) are increasingly used in scientific and medical decision support, where predicted probabilities must be both accurate and well calibrated. Despite strong empirical results with moderate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Paul M. Thompson

We study multivariate Gaussian models that are described by linear conditions on the concentration matrix. We compute the maximum likelihood (ML) degrees of these models. That is, we count the critical points of the likelihood function over…

We give sound and complete Hilbert-style axiomatizations for propositional dependence logic (PD), modal dependence logic (MDL), and extended modal dependence logic (EMDL) by extending existing axiomatizations for propositional logic and…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2014-10-21 Katsuhiko Sano , Jonni Virtema

By transferring knowledge learned from seen/previous tasks, meta learning aims to generalize well to unseen/future tasks. Existing meta-learning approaches have shown promising empirical performance on various multiclass classification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-04 Jiechao Guan , Zhiwu Lu , Tao Xiang , Timothy Hospedales

Due to their flexibility and predictive performance, machine-learning based regression methods have become an important tool for predictive modeling and forecasting. However, most methods focus on estimating the conditional mean or specific…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-15 Rui Li , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

This paper extends some prominent statistical results including \emph{Fisher Theorem and Wilks phenomenon} to the penalized maximum likelihood estimation with a quadratic penalization. It appears that sharp expansions for the penalized MLE…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-11 Vladimir Spokoiny

We present the first finite-sample analysis of policy evaluation in robust average-reward Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Prior work in this setting have established only asymptotic convergence guarantees, leaving open the question of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Yang Xu , Washim Uddin Mondal , Vaneet Aggarwal

Misclassification of binary responses, if ignored, may severely bias the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of regression parameters. For such data, a binary regression model incorporating misclassification probabilities is extensively…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-28 Arindam Chatterjee , Tathagata Bandyopadhyay , Sumanta Adhya

It is well known that, under standard regularity conditions, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) satisfies a central limit theorem and converges in distribution to a Gaussian random variable as the sample size grows. This paper…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Leighton P. Barnes , Alex Dytso

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

In this paper, we investigate the concentration properties of cumulative reward in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), focusing on both asymptotic and non-asymptotic settings. We introduce a unified approach to characterize reward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Borna Sayedana , Peter E. Caines , Aditya Mahajan

What are the functionals of the reward that can be computed and optimized exactly in Markov Decision Processes?In the finite-horizon, undiscounted setting, Dynamic Programming (DP) can only handle these operations efficiently for certain…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-20 Alexandre Marthe , Aurélien Garivier , Claire Vernade
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