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A new type of nonstationary Gaussian process model is developed for approximating computationally expensive functions. The new model is a composite of two Gaussian processes, where the first one captures the smooth global trend and the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-14 Shan Ba , V. Roshan Joseph

Spatial processes observed in various fields, such as climate and environmental science, often occur on a large scale and demonstrate spatial nonstationarity. Fitting a Gaussian process with a nonstationary Mat\'ern covariance is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Pratik Nag , Yiping Hong , Sameh Abdulah , Ghulam A. Qadir , Marc G. Genton , Ying Sun

Longitudinal studies with binary or ordinal responses are widely encountered in various disciplines, where the primary focus is on the temporal evolution of the probability of each response category. Traditional approaches build from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Jizhou Kang , Athanasios Kottas

We study the asymptotic behaviour of different statistics for time series exhibiting long memory and nonstationarity. For processes with memory parameter $d\in(-1/2,3/2)$, we derive the joint limiting distribution of discrete Fourier…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-28 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe

We extend the close interplay between continued fractions, orthogonal polynomials, and Gaussian quadrature rules to several variables in a special but natural setting which we characterize in terms of moment sequences. The crucial condition…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2023-03-29 Tomas Sauer , Yuan Xu

We investigate the nonparametric bivariate additive regression estimation in the random design and long-memory errors and construct adaptive thresholding estimators based on wavelet series. The proposed approach achieves asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-24 Rida Benhaddou , Qing Liu

Computationally efficient surrogates for parametrized physical models play a crucial role in science and engineering. Operator learning provides data-driven surrogates that map between function spaces. However, instead of full-field…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Nicholas H. Nelsen , Margaret Trautner

We introduce computational methods that allow for effective estimation of a flexible, parametric non-stationary spatial model when the field size is too large to compute the multivariate normal likelihood directly. In this method, the field…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-09-20 Amanda Muyskens , Joseph Guinness , Montserrat Fuentes

The paper presents transfer functions for limited memory time-invariant linear integral predictors for continuous time processes such that the corresponding predicting kernels have bounded support. It is shown that processes with…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-07-07 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Fractional-order stochastic gradient descent (FOSGD) leverages fractional exponents to capture long-memory effects in optimization. However, its utility is often limited by the difficulty of tuning and stabilizing these exponents. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Mohammad Partohaghighi , Roummel Marcia , YangQuan Chen

In this paper, we show that geometric functionals (e.g., excursion area, boundary length) evaluated on excursion sets of sphere-cross-time long memory random fields can exhibit fractional cointegration, meaning that some of their linear…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-15 Alessia Caponera , Domenico Marinucci , Anna Vidotto

Discrete-time fractional-order dynamical systems (DT-FODS) have found innumerable applications in the context of modeling spatiotemporal behaviors associated with long-term memory. Applications include neurophysiological signals such as…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-10-05 Sarthak Chatterjee , Sérgio Pequito

Fractional-order stochastic gradient descent (FOSGD) leverages fractional exponents to capture long-memory effects in optimization. However, its utility is often limited by the difficulty of tuning and stabilizing these exponents. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-09 Mohammad Partohaghighi , Roummel Marcia , YangQuan Chen

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

The stochastic partial differential equation approach to Gaussian processes (GPs) represents Mat\'ern GP priors in terms of $n$ finite element basis functions and Gaussian coefficients with sparse precision matrix. Such representations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-11 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

Fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) is a stationary time series model with long memory properties applied in various fields like econometrics, hydrology and climatology. The computational cost in fitting an fGn model of length $n$ using a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-20 Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen , Håvard Rue

Optimizing neural networks with loss that contain high-dimensional and high-order differential operators is expensive to evaluate with back-propagation due to $\mathcal{O}(d^{k})$ scaling of the derivative tensor size and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Zekun Shi , Zheyuan Hu , Min Lin , Kenji Kawaguchi

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

We establish sufficient conditions on durations that are stationary with finite variance and memory parameter $d \in [0,1/2)$ to ensure that the corresponding counting process $N(t)$ satisfies $\textmd{Var} N(t) \sim C t^{2d+1}$ ($C>0$) as…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-19 Rohit Deo , Clifford M. Hurvich , Philippe Soulier , Yi Wang