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The issue of estimating residual variance in regression models has experienced relatively little attention in the machine learning community. However, the estimate is of primary interest in many practical applications, e.g. as a primary…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-18 Burim Ramosaj , Markus Pauly

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

We consider the problem of robustly fitting a model to data that includes outliers by formulating a percentile optimization problem. This problem is non-smooth and non-convex, hence hard to solve. We derive properties that the minimizers of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-16 João Domingos , João Xavier

This article addresses the probabilistic nature of fatigue life in structures subjected to cyclic loading with variable amplitude. Drawing on the formalisation of Miner's cumulative damage rule that we introduced in the recent article…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-11 Francois-Baptiste Cartiaux , Frederic Legoll , Alex Libal , Julien Reygner

We study a generic reaction-diffusion model for single-species population dynamics that includes reproduction, death, and competition. The population is assumed to be confined in a refuge beyond which conditions are so harsh that they lead…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 C. Escudero , J. Buceta , F. J. de la Rubia , Katja Lindenberg

Expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail below (or above) a certain quantile of a probability distribution. Expected shortfall regression provides powerful tools for learning the relationship between a response variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Shushu Zhang , Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Survival regression is widely used to model time-to-events data, to explore how covariates may influence the occurrence of events. Modern datasets often encompass a vast number of covariates across many subjects, with only a subset of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-18 Abhishek Mandal , Abhisek Chakraborty

When modelling competing risks survival data, several techniques have been proposed in both the statistical and machine learning literature. State-of-the-art methods have extended classical approaches with more flexible assumptions that can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-13 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Nathan Constantine-Cooke , Catalina A. Vallejos

Recent discoveries show steady improvements in life expectancy during modern decades. Does this support that humans continue to live longer in future? We recently put forward the maximum survival tendency, as found in survival curves of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-08-28 Byung Mook Weon , Jung Ho Je

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

The widely claimed replicability crisis in science may lead to revised standards of significance. The customary frequentist confidence intervals, calibrated through hypothetical repetitions of the experiment that is supposed to have…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-11 Luigi Pace , Alessandra Salvan

We study convergence rates of variational posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We formulate general conditions on prior, likelihood, and variational class that characterize the convergence rates. Under…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-18 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

This paper studies the possibility of using the survival function to predict long term stability by extrapolation. The survival function is a function of the initial coordinates and is the number of turns a particle will survive for a given…

加速器物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 G. Parzen

The statistical machine learning community has demonstrated considerable resourcefulness over the years in developing highly expressive tools for estimation, prediction, and inference. The bedrock assumptions underlying these developments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-10 Alnur Ali , Maxime Cauchois , John C. Duchi

Aging is a fundamental aspect of living systems that undergo a progressive deterioration of physiological function with age and an increase of vulnerability to disease and death. Living systems, known as complex systems, require complexity…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-11-15 Byung Mook Weon , Jung Ho Je

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

Regression classes modeling more than the mean of the response have found a lot of attention in the last years. Expectile regression is a special and computationally convenient case of this family of models. Expectiles offer a quantile-like…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-19 Elisabeth Waldmann , Fabian Sobotka , Thomas Kneib

In this paper we propose a general methodology, based on multiple testing, for testing that the mean of a Gaussian vector in R^n belongs to a convex set. We show that the test achieves its nominal level, and characterize a class of vectors…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Yannick Baraud , Sylvie Huet , Beatrice Laurent

Under the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) 9, credit losses ought to be recognised timeously and accurately. This requirement belies a certain degree of dynamicity when estimating the constituent parts of a credit loss…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-12-16 Arno Botha , Tanja Verster

The study of a machine learning problem is in many ways is difficult to separate from the study of the loss function being used. One avenue of inquiry has been to look at these loss functions in terms of their properties as scoring rules…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-02 Zac Cranko , Robert C. Williamson , Richard Nock