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Establishing causality is a fundamental goal in fields like medicine and social sciences. While randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for causal inference, they are not always feasible or ethical. Observational studies can…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-03 Andrew Ying

Identifying causal relationships from observation data is difficult, in large part, due to the presence of hidden common causes. In some cases, where just the right patterns of conditional independence and dependence lie in the data---for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-01-08 David Heckerman

Using deep latent variable models in causal inference has attracted considerable interest recently, but an essential open question is their ability to yield consistent causal estimates. While they have demonstrated promising results and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-25 Severi Rissanen , Pekka Marttinen

We introduce an operator-theoretic framework for analyzing directional dependence in multivariate time series based on order-constrained spectral non-invariance. Directional influence is defined as the sensitivity of second-order dependence…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

This paper develops a general causal inference method for treatment effects models with noisily measured confounders. The key feature is that a large set of noisy measurements are linked with the underlying latent confounders through an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-14 Yingjie Feng

Computational analysis of time-course data with an underlying causal structure is needed in a variety of domains, including neural spike trains, stock price movements, and gene expression levels. However, it can be challenging to determine…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-05-14 Samantha Kleinberg , Bud Mishra

We consider the estimation of average treatment effects in observational studies and propose a new framework of robust causal inference with unobserved confounders. Our approach is based on distributionally robust optimization and proceeds…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

In a previous paper \cite{MakingPredictions}, a method of comparing the volumes of thermalized regions in eternally inflating universe was introduced. In this paper, we investigate the dependence of the results obtained through that method…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Serge Winitzki , Alexander Vilenkin

This paper is concerned with test of the conditional independence. We first establish an equivalence between the conditional independence and the mutual independence. Based on the equivalence, we propose an index to measure the conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-18 Zhanrui Cai , Runze Li , Yaowu Zhang

The fusion of causal models with deep learning introducing increasingly intricate data sets, such as the causal associations within images or between textual components, has surfaced as a focal research area. Nonetheless, the broadening of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-03 Hang Chen , Keqing Du , Chenguang Li , Xinyu Yang

In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

For binary experimental data, we discuss randomization-based inferential procedures that do not need to invoke any modeling assumptions. We also introduce methods for likelihood and Bayesian inference based solely on the physical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-25 Peng Ding , Luke W. Miratrix

Obtaining a non-parametric expression for an interventional distribution is one of the most fundamental tasks in causal inference. Such an expression can be obtained for an identifiable causal effect by an algorithm or by manual application…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-20 Santtu Tikka , Juha Karvanen

The goal of Causal Discovery is to find automated search methods for learning causal structures from observational data. In some cases all variables of the interested causal mechanism are measured, and the task is to predict the effects one…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-11 Shuyan Wang

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

Inferring causal effects of continuous-valued treatments from observational data is a crucial task promising to better inform policy- and decision-makers. A critical assumption needed to identify these effects is that all confounding…

We introduce a framework for estimating causal effects of binary and continuous treatments in high dimensions. We show how posterior distributions of treatment and outcome models can be used together with doubly robust estimators. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-06 Joseph Antonelli , Georgia Papadogeorgou , Francesca Dominici

Many causal models of interest in epidemiology involve longitudinal exposures, confounders and mediators. However, repeated measurements are not always available or used in practice, leading analysts to overlook the time-varying nature of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Lola Etievant , Vivian Viallon

We consider the effect of temporal aggregation on instantaneous (non-temporal) causal discovery in general setting. This is motivated by the observation that the true causal time lag is often considerably shorter than the observational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-11 Shunxing Fan , Mingming Gong , Kun Zhang

Causal reasoning is often challenging with spatial data, particularly when handling high-dimensional inputs. To address this, we propose a neural network (NN) based framework integrated with an approximate Gaussian process to manage spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Ziyang Jiang , Zach Calhoun , Yiling Liu , Lei Duan , David Carlson