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The innovations algorithm is a classical recursive forecasting algorithm used in time series analysis. We develop the innovations algorithm for a class of nonnegative regularly varying time series models constructed via transformed-linear…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-20 Nehali Mhatre , Daniel Cooley

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

The purpose of this paper is to adapt the empirical characteristic function (ECF) method to stable, but possibly not inverse stable linear stochastic system driven by the increments of a Levy-process. A remarkable property of the ECF method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-07 L. Gerencser , M. Manfay

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-08 Till Massing

Distributed statistical inference has recently attracted enormous attention. Many existing work focuses on the averaging estimator. We propose a one-step approach to enhance a simple-averaging based distributed estimator. We derive the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-11 Cheng Huang , Xiaoming Huo

Given an i.i.d. sample drawn from some probability distribution on a finite set, the best (in the sense of least variance) linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) of the average of any quantity with respect to that distribution is the sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-28 Bastiaan J. Braams

In many longitudinal settings, economic theory does not guide practitioners on the type of restrictions that must be imposed to solve the rotational indeterminacy of factor-augmented linear models. We study this problem and offer several…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-03-08 Matthew Harding , Carlos Lamarche , Chris Muris

We address the problem of estimating the expected shortfall risk of a financial loss using a finite number of i.i.d. data. It is well known that the classical plug-in estimator suffers from poor statistical performance when faced with…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-02-13 Daniel Bartl , Stephan Eckstein

We derive a maximum a posteriori estimator for the linear observation model, where the signal and noise covariance matrices are both uncertain. The uncertainties are treated probabilistically by modeling the covariance matrices with prior…

Many practical problems are related to the pointwise estimation of dis- tribution functions when data contains measurement errors. Motivation for these problems comes from diverse fields such as astronomy, reliability, quality control,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-02-21 I. Dattner , B. Reiser

Finite sample bounds on the estimation error of the mean by the empirical mean, uniform over a class of functions, can often be conveniently obtained in terms of Rademacher or Gaussian averages of the class. If a function of n variables has…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-10 Andreas Maurer

We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas

A new approach of obtaining stratified random samples from statistically dependent random variables is described. The proposed method can be used to obtain samples from the input space of a computer forward model in estimating expectations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-25 Anirban Mondal , Abhijit Mandal

Many statistical estimands can expressed as continuous linear functionals of a conditional expectation function. This includes the average treatment effect under unconfoundedness and generalizations for continuous-valued and personalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-23 David A. Hirshberg , Stefan Wager

Statistical inference, a central tool of science, revolves around the study and the usage of statistical estimators: functions that map finite samples to predictions about unknown distribution parameters. In the frequentist framework,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-15 Maxime Peyrard , Kyunghyun Cho

Many high-dimensional hypothesis tests aim to globally examine marginal or low-dimensional features of a high-dimensional joint distribution, such as testing of mean vectors, covariance matrices and regression coefficients. This paper…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Yinqiu He , Gongjun Xu , Chong Wu , Wei Pan

In various applications in the field of control engineering the estimation of the state variables of dynamic systems in the presence of unknown inputs plays an important role. Existing methods require the so-called observer matching…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-04-08 Helmut Niederwieser , Markus Tranninger , Richard Seeber , Markus Reichhartinger