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Many AI researchers argue that probability theory is only capable of dealing with uncertainty in situations where a full specification of a joint probability distribution is available, and conclude that it is not suitable for application in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-05 Linda C. van der Gaag

A calculator program has been written to give confidence intervals on branching ratios for rare decay modes (or similar quantities) calculated from the number of events observed, the acceptance factor, the background estimate and the…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2011-07-19 Roger Barlow

Cluster indices describe extremal behaviour of stationary time series. We consider their sliding blocks estimators. Using a modern theory of multivariate, regularly varying time series, we obtain central limit theorems under conditions that…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-26 Youssouph Cissokho , Rafal Kulik

If the non-zero finite floating-point numbers are interpreted as point intervals, then the effect of rounding can be interpreted as computing one of the bounds of the result according to interval arithmetic. We give an interval…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2008-10-24 W. W. Edmonson , M. H. van Emden

We give interpretations of some known key agreement protocols in the framework of category theory and in this way we give a method of constructing of many new key agreement protocols.

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2011-10-25 Nick Inassaridze , Manuel Ladra , Tamaz Kandelaki

In this paper we study the integrals of fractional parts of given functions, and develop some new tools to understand the behaviour of prime differences. We demonstrate how simply some seemingly difficult conjectures related to prime…

综合数学 · 数学 2013-11-05 Roupam Ghosh

Point estimation of class prevalences in the presence of data set shift has been a popular research topic for more than two decades. Less attention has been paid to the construction of confidence and prediction intervals for estimates of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-23 Dirk Tasche

Classification is an important goal in many branches of mathematics. The idea is to describe the members of some class of mathematical objects, up to isomorphism or other important equivalence in terms of relatively simple invariants. Where…

逻辑 · 数学 2008-03-25 Wesley Calvert , Julia F. Knight

We show that it is possible to achieve the same accuracy, on average, as the most accurate existing interval methods for time series classification on a standard set of benchmark datasets using a single type of feature (quantiles), fixed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-03 Angus Dempster , Daniel F. Schmidt , Geoffrey I. Webb

In this article, we propose an interval constraint programming method for globally solving catalog-based categorical optimization problems. It supports catalogs of arbitrary size and properties of arbitrary dimension, and does not require…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-23 Charlie Vanaret

Over the last few decades, various methods have been proposed for estimating prediction intervals in regression settings, including Bayesian methods, ensemble methods, direct interval estimation methods and conformal prediction methods. An…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Nicolas Dewolf , Bernard De Baets , Willem Waegeman

This work connects two mathematical fields - computational complexity and interval linear algebra. It introduces the basic topics of interval linear algebra - regularity and singularity, full column rank, solving a linear system, deciding…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2016-02-02 Jaroslav Horáček , Milan Hladík , Michal Černý

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

In this note we provide a new proof of the Tikhonov theorem for the infinite time interval and discuss some of its applications.

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2019-12-02 Jacek Banasiak

We show how interval-based temporal separation on the extension of Moszkowski's discrete time interval temporal logic (Moszkowski, 1986) by the neighbourhood modalities (ITL-NL) and a lemma which is key in establishing this form of…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2026-02-12 Dimitar P. Guelev

To quantify uncertainty around point estimates of conditional objects such as conditional means or variances, parameter uncertainty has to be taken into account. Attempts to incorporate parameter uncertainty are typically based on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-01-23 Eric Beutner , Alexander Heinemann , Stephan Smeekes

A conjecture concerning some pairs of interfering estimates for some integrals is formulated in three equivalent versions. Its importance for the the Paley problem for plurisubharmonic functions and for certain classes of extremal problems…

复变函数 · 数学 2010-05-24 Bulat N. Khabibullin

In this short note, we construct a class of models of an extension of homotopy type theory, which we call homotopy type theory with an interval type.

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2020-07-15 Valery Isaev

Under a general structural equation framework for causal inference, we provide a definition of the causal effect of a variable X on another variable Y, and propose an approach to estimate this causal effect via the use of instrumental…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-26 Wing Hung Wong