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The efficiency of two Bayesian order estimators is studied. By using nonparametric techniques, we prove new underestimation and overestimation bounds. The results apply to various models, including mixture models. In this case, the errors…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Antoine Chambaz , Judith Rousseau

Methods for combining predictions from different models in a supervised learning setting must somehow estimate/predict the quality of a model's predictions at unknown future inputs. Many of these methods (often implicitly) make the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-25 Thijs van Ommen

In most machine learning applications, classification accuracy is not the primary metric of interest. Binary classifiers which face class imbalance are often evaluated by the $F_\beta$ score, area under the precision-recall curve, Precision…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-02 Alan Mackey , Xiyang Luo , Elad Eban

Ensembling has a long history in statistical data analysis, with many impactful applications. However, in many modern machine learning settings, the benefits of ensembling are less ubiquitous and less obvious. We study, both theoretically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Ryan Theisen , Hyunsuk Kim , Yaoqing Yang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

Ensemble learning improves classification performance by combining multiple base classifiers. While increasing the number of classifiers generally enhances accuracy, excessively large ensembles can lead to computational inefficiency and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Enes Bektas , Fazli Can

Objective prior distributions represent an important tool that allows one to have the advantages of using the Bayesian framework even when information about the parameters of a model is not available. The usual objective approaches work off…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-25 Fabrizio Leisen , Cristiano Villa , Stephen G. Walker

One can improve predictability in the unknown domain by combining forecasts of imperfect complex computational models using a Bayesian statistical machine learning framework. In many cases, however, the models used in the mixing process are…

核理论 · 物理学 2024-08-21 Pablo Giuliani , Kyle Godbey , Vojtech Kejzlar , Witold Nazarewicz

The predictive advantage of combining several different predictive models is widely accepted. Particularly in time series forecasting problems, this combination is often dynamic to cope with potential non-stationary sources of variation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-06 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares , Albert Bifet

Many Artificial Intelligence tasks cannot be evaluated with a single quality criterion and some sort of weighted combination is needed to provide system rankings. A problem of weighted combination measures is that slight changes in the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-01-21 Enrique Amigó , Julio Gonzalo , Javier Artiles , Felisa Verdejo

Meta learning uses information from base learners (e.g. classifiers or estimators) as well as information about the learning problem to improve upon the performance of a single base learner. For example, the Bayes error rate of a given…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-11 Kevin R. Moon , Veronique Delouille , Alfred O. Hero

In statistical classification/multiple hypothesis testing and machine learning, a model distribution estimated from the training data is usually applied to replace the unknown true distribution in the Bayes decision rule, which introduces a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-09-24 Zijian Yang , Vahe Eminyan , Ralf Schlüter , Hermann Ney

An ensemble consists of a set of individually trained classifiers (such as neural networks or decision trees) whose predictions are combined when classifying novel instances. Previous research has shown that an ensemble is often more…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-06-02 R. Maclin , D. Opitz

Within the machine learning community, the widely-used uniform convergence framework has been used to answer the question of how complex, over-parameterized models can generalize well to new data. This approach bounds the test error of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Ryan Theisen , Jason M. Klusowski , Michael W. Mahoney

We explore the fundamental problem of sorting through the lens of learning-augmented algorithms, where algorithms can leverage possibly erroneous predictions to improve their efficiency. We consider two different settings: In the first…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-11-03 Xingjian Bai , Christian Coester

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

Modern deep neural networks can produce badly calibrated predictions, especially when train and test distributions are mismatched. Training an ensemble of models and averaging their predictions can help alleviate these issues. We propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-09 Asa Cooper Stickland , Iain Murray

Methods for unsupervised anomaly detection suffer from the fact that the data is unlabeled, making it difficult to assess the optimality of detection algorithms. Ensemble learning has shown exceptional results in classification and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Edward Yu , Parth Parekh

Ensembles are a straightforward, remarkably effective method for improving the accuracy,calibration, and robustness of models on classification tasks; yet, the reasons that underlie their success remain an active area of research. We build…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Neha Gupta , Jamie Smith , Ben Adlam , Zelda Mariet

We consider a distributed learning setting where each agent/learner holds a specific parametric model and data source. The goal is to integrate information across a set of learners to enhance the prediction accuracy of a given learner. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-21 Jiaying Zhou , Jie Ding , Kean Ming Tan , Vahid Tarokh