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相关论文: Decision-Theoretic Foundations for Causal Reasonin…

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Recently there has been significant interest in using causal modelling techniques to understand the structure of physical theories. However, the notion of `causation' is limiting - insisting that a physical theory must involve causal…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2023-07-24 Mordecai Waegell , Kelvin J. McQueen , Emily C. Adlam

We propose a method to classify the causal relationship between two discrete variables given only the joint distribution of the variables, acknowledging that the method is subject to an inherent baseline error. We assume that the causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-07 Krzysztof Chalupka , Frederick Eberhardt , Pietro Perona

Causal diagrams are logic and graphical tools that depict assumptions about presumed causal relations. Such diagrams have proven effective in tackling a variety of problems in social sciences and epidemiology research yet remain foreign to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-29 M. Z. Naser

The notion of actual causation, as formalized by Halpern and Pearl, has been recently applied to relational databases, to characterize and compute actual causes for possibly unexpected answers to monotone queries. Causes take the form of…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2016-04-26 Babak Salimi , Leopoldo Bertossi , Dan Suciu , Guy Van den Broeck

The aim of this paper is to extend the framework of causal inference, in particular as it has been developed by Judea Pearl, in order to model actions and identify their intended effects, in the direction opened by Elisabeth Anscombe. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-16 Dario Compagno

We introduce a novel framework for causal explanations of stochastic, sequential decision-making systems built on the well-studied structural causal model paradigm for causal reasoning. This single framework can identify multiple,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-01-12 Samer B. Nashed , Saaduddin Mahmud , Claudia V. Goldman , Shlomo Zilberstein

I develop a novel semantics for probabilities of counterfactuals that generalizes the standard Pearlian semantics: it applies to probabilistic causal models that cannot be extended into realistic structural causal models and are therefore…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Sander Beckers

Causal inference is at the heart of empirical research in natural and social sciences and is critical for scientific discovery and informed decision making. The gold standard in causal inference is performing randomized controlled trials;…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2020-04-09 Babak Salimi , Harsh Parikh , Moe Kayali , Sudeepa Roy , Lise Getoor , Dan Suciu

We present an overview of the decision-theoretic framework of statistical causality, which is well-suited for formulating and solving problems of determining the effects of applied causes. The approach is described in detail, and is related…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid

We present a categorical framework for relating causal models that represent the same system at different levels of abstraction. We define a causal abstraction as natural transformations between appropriate Markov functors, which concisely…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Markus Englberger , Devendra Singh Dhami

Not much has been written about the role of triggers in the literature on causal reasoning, causal modeling, or philosophy. In this paper, we focus on describing triggers and causes in the metaphysical sense and on characterizations that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Kateřina Hlaváčková-Schindler , Rainer Wöß , Vera Pecorino , Philip Schindler

Causality is omnipresent in scientists' verbalisations of their understanding, even though we have no formal consensual scientific definition for it. In Automata Networks, it suffices to say that automata "influence" one another to…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2016-10-28 Mathilde Noual

Causal inference is the process of capturing cause-effect relationship among variables. Most existing works focus on dealing with structured data, while mining causal relationship among factors from unstructured data, like text, has been…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-04-22 Xiao Liu , Da Yin , Yansong Feng , Yuting Wu , Dongyan Zhao

This work extends Halpern and Pearl's causal models for actual causality to a possible world semantics environment. Using this framework we introduce a logic of actual causality with modal operators, which allows for reasoning about…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-07-13 Yiwen Ding , Krishna Manoorkar , Apostolos Tzimoulis , Ruoding Wang , Xiaolong Wang

Understanding the predictions made by deep learning models remains a central challenge, especially in high-stakes applications. A promising approach is to equip models with the ability to answer counterfactual questions -- hypothetical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Inwoo Hwang , Yushu Pan , Elias Bareinboim

One of the most fundamental problems in causal inference is the estimation of a causal effect when variables are confounded. This is difficult in an observational study, because one has no direct evidence that all confounders have been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-03 Ricardo Silva , Robin Evans

Causal reasoning is a crucial part of science and human intelligence. In order to discover causal relationships from data, we need structure discovery methods. We provide a review of background theory and a survey of methods for structure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-05 Matthew J. Vowels , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

Much of our experiments are designed to uncover the cause(s) and effect(s) behind a data generating mechanism (i.e., phenomenon) we happen to be interested in. Uncovering such relationships allows us to identify the true working of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-11 M. Z. Naser

The abilities of humans to understand the world in terms of cause and effect relationships, as well as to compress information into abstract concepts, are two hallmark features of human intelligence. These two topics have been studied in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Kevin Xia , Elias Bareinboim

Concept-based explanation approach is a popular model interpertability tool because it expresses the reasons for a model's predictions in terms of concepts that are meaningful for the domain experts. In this work, we study the problem of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-25 Mohammad Taha Bahadori , David E. Heckerman