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We consider supervised learning problems in which set predictions provide explicit uncertainty estimates. Using Choquet integrals (a.k.a. Lov{\'a}sz extensions), we propose a convex loss function for nondecreasing subset-valued functions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Francis Bach

In many real world problems, optimization decisions have to be made with limited information. The decision maker may have no a priori or posteriori data about the often nonconvex objective function except from on a limited number of points…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-11-10 Tansu Alpcan

We present an extensive analysis of relative deviation bounds, including detailed proofs of two-sided inequalities and their implications. We also give detailed proofs of two-sided generalization bounds that hold in the general case of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-04-06 Corinna Cortes , Spencer Greenberg , Mehryar Mohri

We study the problem of online learning in contextual bandit problems where the loss function is assumed to belong to a known parametric function class. We propose a new analytic framework for this setting that bridges the Bayesian theory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-28 Gergely Neu , Matteo Papini , Ludovic Schwartz

Information divergence functions play a critical role in statistics and information theory. In this paper we show that a non-parametric f-divergence measure can be used to provide improved bounds on the minimum binary classification…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-02-11 Visar Berisha , Alan Wisler , Alfred O. Hero , Andreas Spanias

Session-based recommender systems typically focus on using only the triplet (user_id, timestamp, item_id) to make predictions of users' next actions. In this paper, we aim to utilize side information to help recommender systems catch…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Yukun Jiang , Leo Guo , Xinyi Chen , Jing Xi Liu

Decisions are often based on imprecise, uncertain or vague information. Likewise, the consequences of an action are often equally unpredictable, thus putting the decision maker into a twofold jeopardy. Assuming that the effects of an action…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-03 Stefan Rass , Sandra König , Stefan Schauer

Many important quantities of interest are only partially identified from observable data: the data can limit them to a set of plausible values, but not uniquely determine them. This paper develops a unified framework for covariate-assisted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-15 Eli Ben-Michael

The overarching goal of this paper is to derive excess risk bounds for learning from exp-concave loss functions in passive and sequential learning settings. Exp-concave loss functions encompass several fundamental problems in machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-02-11 Mehrdad Mahdavi , Rong Jin

We present a general approach, based on exponential inequalities, to derive bounds on the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms. Using this approach, we provide bounds on the average generalization error as well as bounds…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-10 Fredrik Hellström , Giuseppe Durisi

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

Decision Focused Learning has emerged as a critical paradigm for integrating machine learning with downstream optimisation. Despite its promise, existing methodologies predominantly rely on probabilistic models and focus narrowly on task…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-21 Keivan Shariatmadar , Neil Yorke-Smith , Ahmad Osman , Fabio Cuzzolin , Hans Hallez , David Moens

The problem of online prediction with sequential side information under logarithmic loss is studied, and general upper and lower bounds on the minimax regret incurred by the predictor is established. The upper bounds on the minimax regret…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Alankrita Bhatt , Young-Han Kim

The intersection of causal inference and machine learning for decision-making is rapidly expanding, but the default decision criterion remains an \textit{average} of individual causal outcomes across a population. In practice, various…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Wenshuo Guo , Michael I. Jordan , Angela Zhou

In this paper the theory of semi-bounded rationality is proposed as an extension of the theory of bounded rationality. In particular, it is proposed that a decision making process involves two components and these are the correlation…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-05-28 Tshilidzi Marwala

Session-based recommendation is gaining increasing attention due to its practical value in predicting the intents of anonymous users based on limited behaviors. Emerging efforts incorporate various side information to alleviate inherent…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Xiaokun Zhang , Bo Xu , Chenliang Li , Bowei He , Hongfei Lin , Chen Ma , Fenglong Ma

This paper illustrates the central role of loss functions in data-driven decision making, providing a comprehensive survey on their influence in cost-sensitive classification (CSC) and reinforcement learning (RL). We demonstrate how…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-07 Kaiwen Wang , Nathan Kallus , Wen Sun

We introduce a new cost function over experiments, f-information, based on the theory of multivariate statistical divergences, that generalizes Sims's classic model of rational inattention as well as the class of posterior-separable cost…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-07 Alex Bloedel , Tommaso Denti , Luciano Pomatto

Statistical decision problems lie at the heart of statistical machine learning. The simplest problems are binary and multiclass classification and class probability estimation. Central to their definition is the choice of loss function,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-21 Robert C. Williamson , Zac Cranko

Unaided human decision making appears to systematically violate consistency constraints imposed by normative theories; these biases in turn appear to justify the application of formal decision-analytic models. It is argued that both claims…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-08 Marvin S. Cohen