中文
相关论文

相关论文: Monotone Conditional Complexity Bounds on Future P…

200 篇论文

In many classification tasks there is a requirement of monotonicity. Concretely, if all else remains constant, increasing (resp. decreasing) the value of one or more features must not decrease (resp. increase) the value of the prediction.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Joao Marques-Silva , Thomas Gerspacher , Martin Cooper , Alexey Ignatiev , Nina Narodytska

Reasoning under uncertainty is a key challenge in AI, especially for real-world tasks, where problems with sparse data demands systematic generalisation. Existing approaches struggle to balance accuracy and simplicity when evaluating…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Josh Barber , Rourke Young , Cameron Coombe , Will Browne

Evaluating joint probabilities of potential outcomes and observed variables, and their linear combinations, is a fundamental challenge in causal inference. This paper addresses the bounding and identification of these probabilities in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Naoya Hashimoto , Yuta Kawakami , Jin Tian

Future prediction is a fundamental principle of intelligence that helps plan actions and avoid possible dangers. As the future is uncertain to a large extent, modeling the uncertainty and multimodality of the future states is of great…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Osama Makansi , Eddy Ilg , Özgün Cicek , Thomas Brox

Algorithm- and data-dependent generalization bounds are required to explain the generalization behavior of modern machine learning algorithms. In this context, there exists information theoretic generalization bounds that involve (various…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-07 Sarah Sachs , Tim van Erven , Liam Hodgkinson , Rajiv Khanna , Umut Simsekli

In the online prediction framework, we use generalized entropy of to study the loss rate of predictors when outcomes are drawn according to stationary ergodic distributions over the binary alphabet. We show that the notion of generalized…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-03-08 Mrinalkanti Ghosh , Satyadev Nandakumar

We study the problem of predicting the results of computations that are too expensive to run, via the observation of the results of smaller computations. We model this as an online learning problem with delayed feedback, where the length of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-08 Scott Garrabrant , Nate Soares , Jessica Taylor

We study the properties of the Minimum Description Length principle for sequence prediction, considering a two-part MDL estimator which is chosen from a countable class of models. This applies in particular to the important case of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2011-11-09 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

During recent years the interest of optimization and machine learning communities in high-probability convergence of stochastic optimization methods has been growing. One of the main reasons for this is that high-probability complexity…

Smoothed online combinatorial optimization considers a learner who repeatedly chooses a combinatorial decision to minimize an unknown changing cost function with a penalty on switching decisions in consecutive rounds. We study smoothed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Kai Wang , Zhao Song , Georgios Theocharous , Sridhar Mahadevan

The Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence estimation/prediction in a proper learning setup is studied. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

Shape restrictions such as monotonicity on functions often arise naturally in statistical modeling. We consider a Bayesian approach to the problem of estimation of a monotone regression function and testing for monotonicity. We construct a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-05 Moumita Chakraborty , Subhashis Ghosal

We introduce and discuss the notion of monotonicity for the complexity measures of general probability distributions, patterned after the resource theory of quantum entanglement. Then, we explore whether this property is satisfied by the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-01-20 Łukasz Rudnicki , Irene V. Toranzo , Pablo Sanchez-Moreno , Jesus S. Dehesa

It is a long-standing objective to ease the computation burden incurred by the decision making process. Identification of this mechanism's sensitivity to simplification has tremendous ramifications. Yet, algorithms for decision making under…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-13 Andrey Zhitnikov , Vadim Indelman

Kolmogorov complexity and algorithmic probability are defined only up to an additive resp. multiplicative constant, since their actual values depend on the choice of the universal reference computer. In this paper, we analyze a natural…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2010-03-29 Markus Mueller

Algorithms for min-max optimization and variational inequalities are often studied under monotonicity assumptions. Motivated by non-monotone machine learning applications, we follow the line of works [Diakonikolas et al., 2021, Lee and Kim,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-07-19 Eduard Gorbunov , Adrien Taylor , Samuel Horváth , Gauthier Gidel

We consider non-clairvoyant scheduling with online precedence constraints, where an algorithm is oblivious to any job dependencies and learns about a job only if all of its predecessors have been completed. Given strong impossibility…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Alexandra Lassota , Alexander Lindermayr , Nicole Megow , Jens Schlöter

We introduce a graceful approach to probabilistic inference called bounded conditioning. Bounded conditioning monotonically refines the bounds on posterior probabilities in a belief network with computation, and converges on final…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-08 Eric J. Horvitz , Jaap Suermondt , Gregory F. Cooper

Monotone inclusions have a wide range of applications, including minimization, saddle-point, and equilibria problems. We introduce new stochastic algorithms, with or without variance reduction, to estimate a root of the expectation of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-24 Abdurakhmon Sadiev , Laurent Condat , Peter Richtárik

In this work, we present a variety of novel information-theoretic generalization bounds for learning algorithms, from the supersample setting of Steinke & Zakynthinou (2020)-the setting of the "conditional mutual information" framework. Our…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Ziqiao Wang , Yongyi Mao