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The method of maximum entropy has been very successful but there are cases where it has either failed or led to paradoxes that have cast doubt on its general legitimacy. My more optimistic assessment is that such failures and paradoxes…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Ariel Caticha

In this paper, we study belief elicitation about an uncertain future event, where the reports will affect a principal's decision. We study two problems that can arise in this setting: (1) Agents may have an interest in the outcome of the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-03-01 Manuel Wuthrich , Mark York , David C. Parkes

Estimating the dependences between random variables, and ranking them accordingly, is a prevalent problem in machine learning. Pursuing frequentist and information-theoretic approaches, we first show that the p-value and the mutual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Harald Steck

Many recent methods for unsupervised or self-supervised representation learning train feature extractors by maximizing an estimate of the mutual information (MI) between different views of the data. This comes with several immediate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-24 Michael Tschannen , Josip Djolonga , Paul K. Rubenstein , Sylvain Gelly , Mario Lucic

Algorithms of inference in a computer system oriented to input and semantic processing of text information are presented. Such inference is necessary for logical questions when the direct comparison of objects from a question and database…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2012-02-02 Yuriy Ostapov

The principle that rational agents should maximize expected utility or choiceworthiness is intuitively plausible in many ordinary cases of decision-making under uncertainty. But it is less plausible in cases of extreme, low-probability risk…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-11 Christian Tarsney

Early theories of perception as probabilistic inference propose that uncertainty about the interpretation of sensory input is represented as a probability distribution over many interpretations -- a relatively complex representation.…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2025-10-01 Andrew Jun Lee , Daniel Turek , Omer Daglar Tanrikulu

In most data-scientific approaches, the principle of Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) is used to a posteriori justify some parametric model which has been already chosen based on experience, prior knowledge or computational simplicity. In a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-29 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

The Principle of Insufficient Reason (PIR) assigns equal probabilities to each alternative of a random experiment whenever there is no reason to prefer one over the other. The Maximum Entropy Principle (MaxEnt) generalizes PIR to the case…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-25 Dominik Janzing

The uncertainty principle can be expressed in entropic terms, also taking into account the role of entanglement in reducing uncertainty. The information exclusion principle bounds instead the correlations that can exist between the outcomes…

量子物理 · 物理学 2014-02-26 Patrick J. Coles , Marco Piani

We propose an abductive diagnosis theory that integrates probabilistic, causal and taxonomic knowledge. Probabilistic knowledge allows us to select the most likely explanation; causal knowledge allows us to make reasonable independence…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-05 Dekang Lin , Randy Goebel

The theory of noninterference supports the analysis of secure computations in multi-level security systems. Classical equivalence-based approaches to noninterference mainly rely on bisimilarity. In a nondeterministic setting, assessing…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Andrea Esposito , Alessandro Aldini , Marco Bernardo

Randomized experiments on a network often involve interference between connected units; i.e., a situation in which an individual's treatment can affect the response of another individual. Current approaches to deal with interference, in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Guillaume Basse , Edoardo Airoldi

Characterization of complexity within the sociological interpretation has resulted in a large number of notions, which are relevant in different situations. From the statistical mechanics point of view, these notions resemble entropy. In a…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2021-05-12 Marcos E. Gaudiano , Jorge A. Revelli

According to the principle of polyrepresentation, retrieval accuracy may improve through the combination of multiple and diverse information object representations about e.g. the context of the user, the information sought, or the retrieval…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2017-04-07 Christina Lioma , Birger Larsen , Peter Ingwersen

In this paper we introduce a nonmonotonic framework for belief revision in which reasoning about the reliability of different pieces of information based on meta-knowledge about the information is possible, and where revision strategies can…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Gerhard Brewka

The analysis of practical probabilistic models on the computer demands a convenient representation for the available knowledge and an efficient algorithm to perform inference. An appealing representation is the influence diagram, a network…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-15 Ross D. Shachter

Bayesian belief networks have grown to prominence because they provide compact representations for many problems for which probabilistic inference is appropriate, and there are algorithms to exploit this compactness. The next step is to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-06-27 D. Poole , N. L. Zhang

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

We study a natural variant of the implicational fragment of propositional logic. Its formulas are pairs of conjunctions of positive literals, related together by an implicational-like connective; the semantics of this sort of implication is…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Albert Atserias , José L. Balcázar , Marie Ely Piceno